Statistics / Football / Turkey. 2. Lig / Serik Belediyespor vs Adana 1954 FK

Serik Belediyespor vs Adana 1954 FK Statistics & Analysis

Serik Belediyespor Serik Belediyespor
Oct 11, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.36
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 64%
Adana 1954 FK Adana 1954 FK
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Serik Belediyespor Adana 1954 FK ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13199898

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Adana 1954 FK win · Serik Belediyespor 0–1 Adana 1954 FK
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Lig
  • Fixture: Serik Belediyespor vs Adana 1954 FK
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Serik Belediyespor 1.36 — Adana 1954 FK 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Lig 2. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 6 5 1 0 16
2 Aliağa FAŞ 6 5 0 1 15
3 Elazığspor 6 4 1 1 13
4 Belediye Derincespor 6 3 3 0 12
5 Çorluspor 1947 6 3 1 2 10
6 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 6 3 1 2 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 10
8 Şanlıurfaspor 6 2 3 1 9
9 Menemen Belediyespor 6 3 0 3 9
10 Erbaaspor 6 2 1 3 7
11 Somaspor 5 2 1 2 7
12 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 6 1 3 2 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 6
14 Kastamonuspor 1966 6 2 0 4 3
15 Sebat Gençlikspor 5 0 2 3 2
16 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 6 0 0 6 0
17 Hatayspor 6 1 1 4
18 Adana Demirspor 6 2 1 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 6 16 7 +9 16
2 Elazığspor 6 15 4 +11 13
3 Erbaaspor 6 14 14 0 7
4 Çorluspor 1947 6 13 8 +5 10
5 Aliağa FAŞ 6 13 9 +4 15
6 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 6 11 8 +3 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 11 10 +1 10
8 Şanlıurfaspor 6 10 9 +1 9
9 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 6 10 9 +1 6
10 Belediye Derincespor 6 9 5 +4 12
11 Somaspor 5 8 10 -2 7
12 Menemen Belediyespor 6 7 8 -1 9
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 5 7 11 -4 2
14 Adana Demirspor 6 6 9 -3
15 Ankaraspor 6 4 8 -4 6
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 6 4 14 -10 3
17 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 6 4 14 -10 0
18 Hatayspor 6 2 7 -5
2. Lig Turkey. 2. Lig Predictions