Statistics / Football / Turkey. 2. Lig / Karacabey Belediyespor vs Hekimoğlu Trabzon

Karacabey Belediyespor vs Hekimoğlu Trabzon Statistics & Analysis

Karacabey Belediyespor Karacabey Belediyespor
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30
2 1.41
2 1.19
xG Accuracy: 68%
Hekimoğlu Trabzon Hekimoğlu Trabzon
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Karacabey Belediyespor Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13203878

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Karacabey Belediyespor 2–2 Hekimoğlu Trabzon
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Lig
  • Fixture: Karacabey Belediyespor vs Hekimoğlu Trabzon
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Karacabey Belediyespor 1.41 — Hekimoğlu Trabzon 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.9% · Probability edge: +7.0 pts · Est. EV: +10.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Lig 2. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 6 5 1 0 16
2 Aliağa FAŞ 6 5 0 1 15
3 Elazığspor 6 4 1 1 13
4 Belediye Derincespor 6 3 3 0 12
5 Çorluspor 1947 6 3 1 2 10
6 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 6 3 1 2 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 10
8 Şanlıurfaspor 6 2 3 1 9
9 Menemen Belediyespor 6 3 0 3 9
10 Erbaaspor 6 2 1 3 7
11 Somaspor 5 2 1 2 7
12 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 6 1 3 2 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 6
14 Kastamonuspor 1966 6 2 0 4 3
15 Sebat Gençlikspor 5 0 2 3 2
16 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 6 0 0 6 0
17 Hatayspor 6 1 1 4
18 Adana Demirspor 6 2 1 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 6 16 7 +9 16
2 Elazığspor 6 15 4 +11 13
3 Erbaaspor 6 14 14 0 7
4 Çorluspor 1947 6 13 8 +5 10
5 Aliağa FAŞ 6 13 9 +4 15
6 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 6 11 8 +3 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 11 10 +1 10
8 Şanlıurfaspor 6 10 9 +1 9
9 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 6 10 9 +1 6
10 Belediye Derincespor 6 9 5 +4 12
11 Somaspor 5 8 10 -2 7
12 Menemen Belediyespor 6 7 8 -1 9
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 5 7 11 -4 2
14 Adana Demirspor 6 6 9 -3
15 Ankaraspor 6 4 8 -4 6
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 6 4 14 -10 3
17 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 6 4 14 -10 0
18 Hatayspor 6 2 7 -5
2. Lig Turkey. 2. Lig Predictions