Ankara Demirspor vs Kütahyaspor Statistics & Analysis

Ankara Demirspor

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00

5 1.31

1 1.29

xG Accuracy: 34%

Kütahyaspor

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13199322

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ankara Demirspor win · Ankara Demirspor 5–1 Kütahyaspor

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 2. Lig
Fixture: Ankara Demirspor vs Kütahyaspor
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Ankara Demirspor 1.31 — Kütahyaspor 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

2. Lig — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Muş Menderesspor	6	5	1	0	16
2	Aliağa FAŞ	6	5	0	1	15
3	Elazığspor	6	4	1	1	13
4	Belediye Derincespor	6	3	3	0	12
5	Çorluspor 1947	6	3	1	2	10
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	6	3	1	2	10
7	Isparta 32 Spor	6	3	1	2	10
8	Şanlıurfaspor	6	2	3	1	9
9	Menemen Belediyespor	6	3	0	3	9
10	Erbaaspor	6	2	1	3	7
11	Somaspor	5	2	1	2	7
12	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	6	1	3	2	6
13	Ankaraspor	6	2	0	4	6
14	Kastamonuspor 1966	6	2	0	4	3
15	Sebat Gençlikspor	5	0	2	3	2
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	6	0	0	6	0
17	Hatayspor	6	1	1	4
18	Adana Demirspor	6	2	1	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Muş Menderesspor	6	16	7	+9	16
2	Elazığspor	6	15	4	+11	13
3	Erbaaspor	6	14	14	0	7
4	Çorluspor 1947	6	13	8	+5	10
5	Aliağa FAŞ	6	13	9	+4	15
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	6	11	8	+3	10
7	Isparta 32 Spor	6	11	10	+1	10
8	Şanlıurfaspor	6	10	9	+1	9
9	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	6	10	9	+1	6
10	Belediye Derincespor	6	9	5	+4	12
11	Somaspor	5	8	10	-2	7
12	Menemen Belediyespor	6	7	8	-1	9
13	Sebat Gençlikspor	5	7	11	-4	2
14	Adana Demirspor	6	6	9	-3
15	Ankaraspor	6	4	8	-4	6
16	Kastamonuspor 1966	6	4	14	-10	3
17	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	6	4	14	-10	0
18	Hatayspor	6	2	7	-5