Statistics / Football / Turkey. 2. Lig / Adana 1954 FK vs 24 Erzincanspor

Adana 1954 FK vs 24 Erzincanspor Statistics & Analysis

Adana 1954 FK Adana 1954 FK
Sep 06, 2026 - 13:30
3 1.38
3 1.22
xG Accuracy: 39%
24 Erzincanspor 24 Erzincanspor
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Adana 1954 FK Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6360039

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Adana 1954 FK 3–3 24 Erzincanspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Lig
  • Fixture: Adana 1954 FK vs 24 Erzincanspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Adana 1954 FK 1.38 — 24 Erzincanspor 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Lig 2. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Elazığspor 3 3 0 0 9
2 Çorluspor 1947 3 2 1 0 7
3 Muş Menderesspor 3 2 1 0 7
4 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 4 2 1 1 7
5 Belediye Derincespor 3 2 1 0 7
6 Somaspor 4 2 1 1 7
7 Aliağa FAŞ 3 2 0 1 6
8 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3 1 2 0 5
9 Şanlıurfaspor 3 1 2 0 5
10 Erbaaspor 3 1 1 1 4
11 Menemen Belediyespor 3 1 0 2 3
12 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 3
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 3 0 1 2 1
14 Isparta 32 Spor 3 0 1 2 1
15 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 3 0 0 3 0
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 4 1 0 3 0
17 Hatayspor 3 0 1 2
18 Adana Demirspor 3 1 1 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 3 11 5 +6 7
2 Elazığspor 3 10 1 +9 9
3 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 4 9 6 +3 7
4 Somaspor 4 8 7 +1 7
5 Erbaaspor 3 8 8 0 4
6 Çorluspor 1947 3 7 0 +7 7
7 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3 7 4 +3 5
8 Belediye Derincespor 3 6 3 +3 7
9 Aliağa FAŞ 3 6 6 0 6
10 Sebat Gençlikspor 3 6 9 -3 1
11 Şanlıurfaspor 3 5 4 +1 5
12 Menemen Belediyespor 3 4 7 -3 3
13 Isparta 32 Spor 3 4 7 -3 1
14 Adana Demirspor 3 3 4 -1
15 Ankaraspor 4 2 6 -4 3
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 4 2 12 -10 0
17 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 3 1 7 -6 0
18 Hatayspor 3 0 3 -3
2. Lig Turkey. 2. Lig Predictions