Statistics / Football / Turkey. 2. Lig / Hatayspor vs Elazığspor

Hatayspor vs Elazığspor Statistics & Analysis

Hatayspor Hatayspor
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.16
3 1.44
xG Accuracy: 47%
Elazığspor Elazığspor
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Elazığspor Elazığspor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13199852

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Elazığspor win · Hatayspor 0–3 Elazığspor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Lig
  • Fixture: Hatayspor vs Elazığspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
  • xG (showing): Hatayspor 1.16 — Elazığspor 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Lig 2. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 6 5 1 0 16
2 Aliağa FAŞ 6 5 0 1 15
3 Elazığspor 5 3 1 1 10
4 Çorluspor 1947 6 3 1 2 10
5 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 6 3 1 2 10
6 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 10
7 Belediye Derincespor 5 2 3 0 9
8 Şanlıurfaspor 6 2 3 1 9
9 Menemen Belediyespor 6 3 0 3 9
10 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 7
11 Somaspor 4 2 1 1 7
12 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 6 1 3 2 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 6
14 Kastamonuspor 1966 6 2 0 4 3
15 Sebat Gençlikspor 5 0 2 3 2
16 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 6 0 0 6 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3
18 Adana Demirspor 5 1 1 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 6 16 7 +9 16
2 Çorluspor 1947 6 13 8 +5 10
3 Aliağa FAŞ 6 13 9 +4 15
4 Erbaaspor 5 13 12 +1 7
5 Elazığspor 5 12 4 +8 10
6 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 6 11 8 +3 10
7 Isparta 32 Spor 6 11 10 +1 10
8 Şanlıurfaspor 6 10 9 +1 9
9 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 6 10 9 +1 6
10 Somaspor 4 8 7 +1 7
11 Belediye Derincespor 5 7 4 +3 9
12 Menemen Belediyespor 6 7 8 -1 9
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 5 7 11 -4 2
14 Ankaraspor 6 4 8 -4 6
15 Kastamonuspor 1966 6 4 14 -10 3
16 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 6 4 14 -10 0
17 Adana Demirspor 5 3 9 -6
18 Hatayspor 5 2 4 -2