Statistics / Football / Turkey. 2. Lig / İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Muş Menderesspor

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Muş Menderesspor Statistics & Analysis

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
0 1.18
1 1.42
xG Accuracy: 64%
Muş Menderesspor Muş Menderesspor
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Muş Menderesspor Muş Menderesspor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11230597

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Muş Menderesspor win · İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 0–1 Muş Menderesspor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Lig
  • Fixture: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Muş Menderesspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 1.18 — Muş Menderesspor 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Lig 2. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 5 4 1 0 13
2 Aliağa FAŞ 5 4 0 1 12
3 Elazığspor 4 3 1 0 10
4 Menemen Belediyespor 5 3 0 2 9
5 Belediye Derincespor 4 2 2 0 8
6 Çorluspor 1947 4 2 1 1 7
7 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 5 2 1 2 7
8 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 7
9 Somaspor 4 2 1 1 7
10 Isparta 32 Spor 5 2 1 2 7
11 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 4 1 2 1 5
12 Şanlıurfaspor 4 1 2 1 5
13 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 3
14 Sebat Gençlikspor 4 0 1 3 1
15 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 4 0 0 4 0
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 4 1 0 3 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3
18 Adana Demirspor 5 1 1 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Muş Menderesspor 5 15 7 +8 13
2 Erbaaspor 5 13 12 +1 7
3 Aliağa FAŞ 5 12 9 +3 12
4 Elazığspor 4 10 1 +9 10
5 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 5 9 7 +2 7
6 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 4 9 7 +2 5
7 Çorluspor 1947 4 8 3 +5 7
8 Somaspor 4 8 7 +1 7
9 Isparta 32 Spor 5 8 8 0 7
10 Menemen Belediyespor 5 7 7 0 9
11 Belediye Derincespor 4 6 3 +3 8
12 Şanlıurfaspor 4 6 6 0 5
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 4 6 10 -4 1
14 Adana Demirspor 5 3 9 -6
15 Hatayspor 5 2 4 -2
16 Ankaraspor 4 2 6 -4 3
17 Kastamonuspor 1966 4 2 12 -10 0
18 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 4 1 9 -8 0
2. Lig Turkey. 2. Lig Predictions