Statistics / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 3 / Silifke Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor

Silifke Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor Statistics & Analysis

Silifke Belediyespor Silifke Belediyespor
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
Niğde Belediyesispor Niğde Belediyesispor
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Silifke Belediyespor Niğde Belediyesispor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11227691

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Niğde Belediyesispor win · Silifke Belediyespor 0–3 Niğde Belediyesispor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Lig - Group 3
  • Fixture: Silifke Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Silifke Belediyespor 1.32 — Niğde Belediyesispor 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.2%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
3. Lig - Group 3 3. Lig - Group 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 5 5 0 0 15
2 Niğde Belediyesispor 5 5 0 0 15
3 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 5 4 1 0 13
4 Karaköprü Belediyespor 5 4 1 0 13
5 Talasgücü Belediyespor 5 4 1 0 13
6 Kırşehir Belediyespor 5 4 0 1 12
7 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 5 4 0 1 12
8 Ağrı 1970 5 2 1 2 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 6
10 İçel İdmanyurdu Spor 5 2 0 3 6
11 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 5 1 1 3 4
12 Silifke Belediyespor 5 1 1 3 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 3
14 Karaman Belediyespor 5 1 0 4 3
15 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 5 1 0 4 3
16 Diyarbekirspor 5 0 1 4 1
17 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 0 1 4 1
18 Adanaspor 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 5 22 2 +20 15
2 Kırşehir Belediyespor 5 19 4 +15 12
3 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 5 14 3 +11 12
4 Niğde Belediyesispor 5 13 2 +11 15
5 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 5 12 3 +9 13
6 Karaköprü Belediyespor 5 10 3 +7 13
7 Adana Adaletgucu 5 10 10 0 6
8 Talasgücü Belediyespor 5 9 4 +5 13
9 Osmaniyespor 5 7 13 -6 3
10 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 5 6 8 -2 4
11 İçel İdmanyurdu Spor 5 5 9 -4 6
12 Ağrı 1970 5 4 4 0 7
13 Silifke Belediyespor 5 4 10 -6 4
14 Karaman Belediyespor 5 4 14 -10 3
15 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 5 3 18 -15 3
16 Adanaspor 5 3 20 -17 0
17 Diyarbekirspor 5 2 8 -6 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 0 12 -12 1
3. Lig - Group 3 Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 3 Predictions