Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor Statistics & Analysis

Diyarbekirspor

Sep 06, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Diyarbekirspor Yeşilyurt Belediyespor ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6355091

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win · Diyarbekirspor 0–1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 3. Lig - Group 3
Fixture: Diyarbekirspor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Diyarbekirspor 1.32 — Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. Lig - Group 3 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	4	0	0	12
2	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	4	3	1	0	10
3	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	3	3	0	0	9
4	Niğde Belediyesispor	3	3	0	0	9
5	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	3	3	0	0	9
6	Talasgücü Belediyespor	3	2	1	0	7
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	3	2	0	1	6
8	Silifke Belediyespor	3	1	1	1	4
9	Adana Adaletgucu	3	1	0	2	3
10	İçel İdmanyurdu Spor	3	1	0	2	3
11	Karaman Belediyespor	3	1	0	2	3
12	Osmaniyespor	4	1	0	3	3
13	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	4	1	0	3	3
14	Ağrı 1970	3	0	1	2	1
15	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	3	0	1	2	1
16	Diyarbekirspor	3	0	1	2	1
17	Adanaspor	3	0	0	3	0
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	4	10	2	+8	10
2	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	10	3	+7	12
3	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	3	8	1	+7	9
4	Niğde Belediyesispor	3	8	1	+7	9
5	Kırşehir Belediyespor	3	8	3	+5	6
6	Adana Adaletgucu	3	7	5	+2	3
7	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	3	5	1	+4	9
8	Osmaniyespor	4	5	9	-4	3
9	Silifke Belediyespor	3	4	3	+1	4
10	Talasgücü Belediyespor	3	3	1	+2	7
11	İçel İdmanyurdu Spor	3	3	5	-2	3
12	Karaman Belediyespor	3	3	6	-3	3
13	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	3	2	6	-4	1
14	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	4	2	9	-7	3
15	Adanaspor	3	2	10	-8	0
16	Ağrı 1970	3	1	3	-2	1
17	Diyarbekirspor	3	0	4	-4	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	0	9	-9	0