Statistics / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 / Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye

Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye Statistics & Analysis

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Gaziemirspor
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
0 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Nilüfer Belediye Nilüfer Belediye
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Gaziemirspor Nilüfer Belediye ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11253765

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nilüfer Belediye win · Gaziemirspor 0–2 Nilüfer Belediye
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Lig - Group 2
  • Fixture: Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Gaziemirspor 1.32 — Nilüfer Belediye 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.1% · Probability edge: +4.7 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
3. Lig - Group 2 3. Lig - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nilüfer Belediye 5 4 1 0 13
2 Etimesgut Belediyespor 5 4 0 1 12
3 Anadolu Üniversitesi 5 3 2 0 11
4 Bursa Yıldırımspor 5 3 2 0 11
5 Eskişehirspor 5 3 1 1 10
6 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 5 3 1 1 10
7 Balıkesirspor 5 3 0 2 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 8
9 Efeler 09 Spor 5 1 3 1 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 6
11 Gaziemirspor 5 2 0 3 6
12 Utaş Uşakspor 5 1 2 2 5
13 Karşıyaka 5 1 2 2 5
14 Buca FK 5 1 0 4 3
15 Akşehirspor 5 1 0 4 3
16 Kepez Belediyespor 5 0 2 3 2
17 Denizli İYG 5 0 2 3 2
18 Kestelspor 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eskişehirspor 5 16 6 +10 10
2 Balıkesirspor 5 14 12 +2 9
3 Anadolu Üniversitesi 5 10 3 +7 11
4 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 5 10 6 +4 10
5 Bigaspor 5 10 7 +3 8
6 Nilüfer Belediye 5 9 1 +8 13
7 Etimesgut Belediyespor 5 7 1 +6 12
8 Utaş Uşakspor 5 7 8 -1 5
9 Bursa Yıldırımspor 5 6 2 +4 11
10 Gaziemirspor 5 6 7 -1 6
11 Efeler 09 Spor 5 5 4 +1 6
12 Altay 5 5 5 0 6
13 Karşıyaka 5 4 5 -1 5
14 Buca FK 5 4 10 -6 3
15 Akşehirspor 5 4 13 -9 3
16 Kepez Belediyespor 5 2 8 -6 2
17 Denizli İYG 5 1 10 -9 2
18 Kestelspor 5 1 13 -12 1
3. Lig - Group 2 Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 Predictions