Statistics / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 / Altay vs Kestelspor

Altay vs Kestelspor Statistics & Analysis

Altay Altay
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
Kestelspor Kestelspor
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Altay Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11253790

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Altay 0–0 Kestelspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. Lig - Group 2
  • Fixture: Altay vs Kestelspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Altay 1.32 — Kestelspor 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Altay & Kestelspor!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
3. Lig - Group 2 3. Lig - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nilüfer Belediye 5 4 1 0 13
2 Etimesgut Belediyespor 5 4 0 1 12
3 Anadolu Üniversitesi 5 3 2 0 11
4 Bursa Yıldırımspor 5 3 2 0 11
5 Eskişehirspor 5 3 1 1 10
6 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 5 3 1 1 10
7 Balıkesirspor 5 3 0 2 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 8
9 Efeler 09 Spor 5 1 3 1 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 6
11 Gaziemirspor 5 2 0 3 6
12 Utaş Uşakspor 5 1 2 2 5
13 Karşıyaka 5 1 2 2 5
14 Buca FK 5 1 0 4 3
15 Akşehirspor 5 1 0 4 3
16 Kepez Belediyespor 5 0 2 3 2
17 Denizli İYG 5 0 2 3 2
18 Kestelspor 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eskişehirspor 5 16 6 +10 10
2 Balıkesirspor 5 14 12 +2 9
3 Anadolu Üniversitesi 5 10 3 +7 11
4 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 5 10 6 +4 10
5 Bigaspor 5 10 7 +3 8
6 Nilüfer Belediye 5 9 1 +8 13
7 Etimesgut Belediyespor 5 7 1 +6 12
8 Utaş Uşakspor 5 7 8 -1 5
9 Bursa Yıldırımspor 5 6 2 +4 11
10 Gaziemirspor 5 6 7 -1 6
11 Efeler 09 Spor 5 5 4 +1 6
12 Altay 5 5 5 0 6
13 Karşıyaka 5 4 5 -1 5
14 Buca FK 5 4 10 -6 3
15 Akşehirspor 5 4 13 -9 3
16 Kepez Belediyespor 5 2 8 -6 2
17 Denizli İYG 5 1 10 -9 2
18 Kestelspor 5 1 13 -12 1
3. Lig - Group 2 Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 Predictions