Statistics / Football / Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 / Karşıyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Karşıyaka vs Gaziemirspor Statistics & Analysis

Karşıyaka Karşıyaka
Sep 26, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
⚽
Gaziemirspor
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Karşıyaka Gaziemirspor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10115088

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Gaziemirspor win · Karşıyaka 0–1 Gaziemirspor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. Lig - Group 2
  • Fixture: Karşıyaka vs Gaziemirspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Karşıyaka 1.32 — Gaziemirspor 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.1% · Probability edge: +5.7 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Karşıyaka & Gaziemirspor!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
3. Lig - Group 2 3. Lig - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Balıkesirspor 3 3 0 0 9
2 Nilüfer Belediye 3 3 0 0 9
3 Etimesgut Belediyespor 4 3 0 1 9
4 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 4 3 0 1 9
5 Anadolu Üniversitesi 3 2 1 0 7
6 Bursa Yıldırımspor 3 2 1 0 7
7 Gaziemirspor 4 2 0 2 6
8 Bigaspor 4 1 2 1 5
9 Eskişehirspor 3 1 1 1 4
10 Efeler 09 Spor 3 1 1 1 4
11 Akşehirspor 3 1 0 2 3
12 Buca FK 3 1 0 2 3
13 Altay 3 0 2 1 2
14 Karşıyaka 4 0 2 2 2
15 Utaş Uşakspor 3 0 2 1 2
16 Kepez Belediyespor 3 0 1 2 1
17 Denizli İYG 3 0 1 2 1
18 Kestelspor 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Balıkesirspor 3 11 2 +9 9
2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 4 9 5 +4 9
3 Nilüfer Belediye 3 7 1 +6 9
4 Anadolu Üniversitesi 3 7 2 +5 7
5 Bigaspor 4 7 5 +2 5
6 Etimesgut Belediyespor 4 6 1 +5 9
7 Gaziemirspor 4 6 5 +1 6
8 Eskişehirspor 3 6 5 +1 4
9 Bursa Yıldırımspor 3 5 2 +3 7
10 Akşehirspor 3 4 7 -3 3
11 Utaş Uşakspor 3 4 7 -3 2
12 Efeler 09 Spor 3 3 2 +1 4
13 Altay 3 3 4 -1 2
14 Karşıyaka 4 3 5 -2 2
15 Buca FK 3 3 7 -4 3
16 Kepez Belediyespor 3 2 7 -5 1
17 Denizli İYG 3 1 8 -7 1
18 Kestelspor 4 1 13 -12 0
3. Lig - Group 2 Turkey. 3. Lig - Group 2 Predictions