Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Kartal Bulvarspor Statistics & Analysis

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30

2 1.34

4 1.26

xG Accuracy: 39%

Kartal Bulvarspor

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Yalova Yeşilovaspor Kartal Bulvarspor ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11230237

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kartal Bulvarspor win · Yalova Yeşilovaspor 2–4 Kartal Bulvarspor

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. Lig - Group 1
Fixture: Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Kartal Bulvarspor
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1.34 — Kartal Bulvarspor 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.2%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. Lig - Group 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	3	2	0	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	3	1	1	10
3	Pazarspor	5	3	1	1	10
4	Galata	5	2	3	0	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	2	3	0	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	2	2	1	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	2	2	1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	2	2	1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	2	2	1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	1	4	0	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	2	1	2	7
12	Tuzlaspor	5	1	2	2	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	1	1	3	4
14	Silivrispor	5	1	1	3	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	1	1	3	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	1	1	3	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	0	2	3	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	0	1	4	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	12	6	+6	10
2	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	10	2	+8	11
3	Pazarspor	5	9	3	+6	10
4	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	8	6	+2	8
5	Galata	5	7	3	+4	9
6	Orduspor 1967	5	7	6	+1	8
7	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	7	14	-7	4
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	6	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	6	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	5	4	+1	7
11	Gölcükspor	5	5	7	-2	4
12	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	5	8	-3	7
13	İnkılapspor	5	5	10	-5	4
14	Tuzlaspor	5	4	4	0	5
15	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	4	8	-4	2
16	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	3	1	+2	9
17	Silivrispor	5	2	6	-4	4
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	2	9	-7	1