Düzcespor vs İnkılapspor Statistics & Analysis

Düzcespor

Sep 27, 2026 - 12:30

1 1.43

1 1.17

xG Accuracy: 85%

İnkılapspor

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Düzcespor Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10088373

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Düzcespor 1–1 İnkılapspor

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 3. Lig - Group 1
Fixture: Düzcespor vs İnkılapspor
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Düzcespor 1.43 — İnkılapspor 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. Lig - Group 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Orduspor 1967	4	2	2	0	8
2	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	4	2	2	0	8
3	Pazarspor	3	2	1	0	7
4	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	3	1	2	0	5
5	Fatsa Belediyespor	3	1	2	0	5
6	Amasyaspor 1968	3	1	2	0	5
7	Düzcespor	3	1	2	0	5
8	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	3	1	2	0	5
9	Kartal Bulvarspor	3	1	1	1	4
10	Gölcükspor	4	1	1	2	4
11	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	3	1	1	1	4
12	Karabük İdman Yurdu	3	1	1	1	4
13	Galata	3	0	3	0	3
14	Silivrispor	3	1	0	2	3
15	İnkılapspor	3	1	0	2	3
16	Tuzlaspor	3	0	1	2	1
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	4	0	1	3	1
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Orduspor 1967	4	7	3	+4	8
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	3	7	4	+3	4
3	Pazarspor	3	6	1	+5	7
4	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	3	6	3	+3	5
5	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	4	5	2	+3	8
6	Gölcükspor	4	5	5	0	4
7	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	3	5	7	-2	4
8	Fatsa Belediyespor	3	4	2	+2	5
9	Amasyaspor 1968	3	4	3	+1	5
10	Düzcespor	3	4	3	+1	5
11	İnkılapspor	3	4	8	-4	3
12	Zonguldak Kömürspor	4	4	8	-4	1
13	Karabük İdman Yurdu	3	3	6	-3	4
14	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	3	2	1	+1	5
15	Galata	3	2	2	0	3
16	Tuzlaspor	3	2	4	-2	1
17	Silivrispor	3	2	5	-3	3
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	3	2	7	-5	0