Statistics / Football / Croatia. First NL / Segesta Sisak vs Dinamo Zagreb U21

Segesta Sisak vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 Statistics & Analysis

Segesta Sisak Segesta Sisak
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 Dinamo Zagreb U21
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Segesta Sisak Dinamo Zagreb U21 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13216986

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dinamo Zagreb U21 win · Segesta Sisak 1–3 Dinamo Zagreb U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: First NL
  • Fixture: Segesta Sisak vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Segesta Sisak 1.32 — Dinamo Zagreb U21 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
First NL First NL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Jadran LP 7 4 2 1 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 4 1 2 13
3 HNK Cibalia 7 3 4 0 13
4 Bsk Bijelo Brdo 7 4 1 2 13
5 Segesta Sisak 7 3 2 2 11
6 Mladost Ždralovi 7 3 2 2 11
7 Sesvete 7 3 0 4 9
8 Dinamo Zagreb U21 7 3 0 4 9
9 Dugopolje 7 2 3 2 9
10 Dubrava Zagreb 7 2 2 3 8
11 Karlovac 1919 7 2 2 3 8
12 Orijent 1919 7 2 2 3 8
13 Vukovar 7 2 2 3 8
14 Opatija 7 2 1 4 7
15 Hrvace 7 2 1 4 7
16 Kustosija 7 1 3 3 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Jadran LP 7 12 7 +5 14
2 Croatia Zmijavci 7 11 6 +5 13
3 Dinamo Zagreb U21 7 11 11 0 9
4 Vukovar 7 11 14 -3 8
5 Segesta Sisak 7 9 8 +1 11
6 Sesvete 7 9 8 +1 9
7 Dugopolje 7 9 9 0 9
8 Bsk Bijelo Brdo 7 8 6 +2 13
9 Karlovac 1919 7 8 10 -2 8
10 Opatija 7 8 10 -2 7
11 HNK Cibalia 7 7 4 +3 13
12 Hrvace 7 7 12 -5 7
13 Mladost Ždralovi 7 6 6 0 11
14 Dubrava Zagreb 7 6 7 -1 8
15 Orijent 1919 7 6 8 -2 8
16 Kustosija 7 3 5 -2 6
First NL Croatia. First NL Predictions