Statistics / Football / Albania. Superliga / Dinamo Tirana vs Laci

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci Statistics & Analysis

Dinamo Tirana Dinamo Tirana
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:30
3 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 60%
Laci Laci
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Dinamo Tirana Dinamo Tirana ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8704596

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dinamo Tirana win · Dinamo Tirana 3–1 Laci
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Superliga
  • Fixture: Dinamo Tirana vs Laci
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Dinamo Tirana 1.37 — Laci 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.7% · Probability edge: +3.1 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Superliga Superliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Teuta Durrës 5 4 1 0 13
2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5 4 0 1 12
3 Dinamo Tirana 5 4 0 1 12
4 Laci 5 2 1 2 7
5 AF Elbasani 5 1 3 1 6
6 Tirana 5 1 2 2 5
7 Partizani 5 1 1 3 4
8 Vora 5 1 1 3 4
9 Skenderbeu Korce 5 0 3 2 3
10 Vllaznia Shkodër 5 0 2 3 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5 11 5 +6 12
2 Teuta Durrës 5 10 2 +8 13
3 Dinamo Tirana 5 10 5 +5 12
4 Tirana 5 8 9 -1 5
5 AF Elbasani 5 7 7 0 6
6 Laci 5 7 8 -1 7
7 Partizani 5 7 10 -3 4
8 Skenderbeu Korce 5 5 7 -2 3
9 Vllaznia Shkodër 5 5 10 -5 2
10 Vora 5 3 10 -7 4