Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Bataeh Statistics & Analysis

Dibba Al Hisn

Oct 11, 2026 - 13:10

2 1.42

2 1.18

xG Accuracy: 68%

Al Bataeh

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Dibba Al Hisn Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13216307

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Dibba Al Hisn 2–2 Al Bataeh

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Division 1
Fixture: Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Bataeh
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:10:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): Dibba Al Hisn 1.42 — Al Bataeh 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.2% · Probability edge: +4.6 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Division 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Al Arabi	6	5	1	0	16
2	Al Thaid	5	3	1	1	10
3	Dibba Al-Fujairah	5	3	1	1	10
4	Emirates Club	6	3	0	3	9
5	Al Urooba	6	2	3	1	9
6	Al Fujairah SC	6	3	0	3	9
7	Forte Virtus	5	3	0	2	9
8	Al Hamriyah	6	3	0	3	9
9	Al Bataeh	6	2	2	2	8
10	Dibba Al Hisn	5	2	1	2	7
11	Gulf United	5	2	0	3	6
12	Palm City	5	2	0	3	6
13	Ittifaq	6	1	1	4	4
14	City	6	1	1	4	4
15	Al Jazira Al Hamra	6	0	3	3	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Al Arabi	6	17	8	+9	16
2	Dibba Al-Fujairah	5	13	9	+4	10
3	Al Fujairah SC	6	12	10	+2	9
4	Al Thaid	5	11	5	+6	10
5	Emirates Club	6	10	6	+4	9
6	Dibba Al Hisn	5	10	7	+3	7
7	Palm City	5	10	14	-4	6
8	Al Urooba	6	9	6	+3	9
9	Gulf United	5	9	9	0	6
10	Forte Virtus	5	8	7	+1	9
11	City	6	8	16	-8	4
12	Al Hamriyah	6	7	10	-3	9
13	Al Bataeh	6	6	7	-1	8
14	Al Jazira Al Hamra	6	4	14	-10	3
15	Ittifaq	6	3	9	-6	4