Al Hamriyah vs Al Urooba Statistics & Analysis

Al Hamriyah

Oct 11, 2026 - 13:15

0 1.27

3 1.33

xG Accuracy: 45%

Al Urooba

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Al Urooba Al Urooba ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13217327

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Al Urooba win · Al Hamriyah 0–3 Al Urooba

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Division 1
Fixture: Al Hamriyah vs Al Urooba
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Al Hamriyah 1.27 — Al Urooba 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Division 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Al Arabi	5	4	1	0	13
2	Al Thaid	4	3	1	0	10
3	Dibba Al-Fujairah	4	3	0	1	9
4	Forte Virtus	4	3	0	1	9
5	Al Hamriyah	5	3	0	2	9
6	Al Bataeh	5	2	1	2	7
7	Dibba Al Hisn	4	2	0	2	6
8	Al Fujairah SC	5	2	0	3	6
9	Gulf United	4	2	0	2	6
10	Emirates Club	5	2	0	3	6
11	Al Urooba	5	1	3	1	6
12	Palm City	5	2	0	3	6
13	City	5	1	1	3	4
14	Al Jazira Al Hamra	5	0	2	3	2
15	Ittifaq	5	0	1	4	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Al Arabi	5	15	7	+8	13
2	Al Thaid	4	11	4	+7	10
3	Dibba Al-Fujairah	4	11	7	+4	9
4	Palm City	5	10	14	-4	6
5	Al Fujairah SC	5	9	8	+1	6
6	Dibba Al Hisn	4	8	5	+3	6
7	Gulf United	4	8	7	+1	6
8	City	5	8	13	-5	4
9	Emirates Club	5	7	6	+1	6
10	Al Hamriyah	5	7	7	0	9
11	Forte Virtus	4	6	4	+2	9
12	Al Urooba	5	6	6	0	6
13	Al Bataeh	5	4	5	-1	7
14	Ittifaq	5	2	9	-7	1
15	Al Jazira Al Hamra	5	2	12	-10	2