Statistics / Football / United-Arab-Emirates. Division 1 / Palm City vs Al Arabi

Palm City vs Al Arabi Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Palm City
Aug 22, 2026 - 15:20
2 1.32
5 1.28
xG Accuracy: 30%
Al Arabi Al Arabi
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Palm City Al Arabi ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4235762

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al Arabi win · Palm City 2–5 Al Arabi
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 1
  • Fixture: Palm City vs Al Arabi
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 15:20:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Palm City 1.32 — Al Arabi 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Division 1 Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Arabi 5 4 1 0 13
2 Al Thaid 4 3 1 0 10
3 Dibba Al-Fujairah 4 3 0 1 9
4 Forte Virtus 4 3 0 1 9
5 Al Hamriyah 5 3 0 2 9
6 Al Bataeh 5 2 1 2 7
7 Dibba Al Hisn 4 2 0 2 6
8 Al Fujairah SC 5 2 0 3 6
9 Gulf United 4 2 0 2 6
10 Emirates Club 5 2 0 3 6
11 Al Urooba 5 1 3 1 6
12 Palm City 5 2 0 3 6
13 City 5 1 1 3 4
14 Al Jazira Al Hamra 5 0 2 3 2
15 Ittifaq 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Arabi 5 15 7 +8 13
2 Al Thaid 4 11 4 +7 10
3 Dibba Al-Fujairah 4 11 7 +4 9
4 Palm City 5 10 14 -4 6
5 Al Fujairah SC 5 9 8 +1 6
6 Dibba Al Hisn 4 8 5 +3 6
7 Gulf United 4 8 7 +1 6
8 City 5 8 13 -5 4
9 Emirates Club 5 7 6 +1 6
10 Al Hamriyah 5 7 7 0 9
11 Forte Virtus 4 6 4 +2 9
12 Al Urooba 5 6 6 0 6
13 Al Bataeh 5 4 5 -1 7
14 Ittifaq 5 2 9 -7 1
15 Al Jazira Al Hamra 5 2 12 -10 2