Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 3. SNL - West / Svoboda vs Škofja Loka

Svoboda vs Škofja Loka Statistics & Analysis

Svoboda Svoboda
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.33
0 1.27
xG Accuracy: 64%
Škofja Loka Škofja Loka
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Svoboda Svoboda ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13219737

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Svoboda win · Svoboda 1–0 Škofja Loka
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 3. SNL - West
  • Fixture: Svoboda vs Škofja Loka
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Svoboda 1.33 — Škofja Loka 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Svoboda & Škofja Loka!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
3. SNL - West 3. SNL - West — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 19
3 Idrija 8 5 1 2 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 15
5 Šencur 8 4 3 1 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 14
7 Škofja Loka 8 3 3 2 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 10
9 Adria 8 2 1 5 7
10 Žiri 8 1 4 3 7
11 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 7
12 Vipava 8 2 0 6 6
13 Šobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 3
14 Svoboda 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Izola 8 36 5 +31 24
2 Dob 8 21 6 +15 19
3 Tolmin 8 18 10 +8 15
4 Šencur 8 17 11 +6 15
5 Litija 8 15 7 +8 14
6 Škofja Loka 8 15 17 -2 12
7 Idrija 8 13 11 +2 16
8 Vipava 8 13 34 -21 6
9 Adria 8 12 16 -4 7
10 Rudar Trbovlje 8 11 18 -7 10
11 Žiri 8 8 12 -4 7
12 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 8 14 -6 7
13 Šobec Lesce 8 6 16 -10 3
14 Svoboda 8 5 21 -16 1