Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 3. SNL - East / NK Ormoz vs Limbuš Pekre

NK Ormoz vs Limbuš Pekre Statistics & Analysis

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NK Ormoz
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
4 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 34%
Limbuš Pekre Limbuš Pekre
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 NK Ormoz NK Ormoz ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8684766

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result NK Ormoz win · NK Ormoz 4–0 Limbuš Pekre
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. SNL - East
  • Fixture: NK Ormoz vs Limbuš Pekre
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): NK Ormoz 1.32 — Limbuš Pekre 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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3. SNL - East 3. SNL - East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Odranci 6 5 1 0 16
2 NK Ormoz 6 4 1 1 13
3 Fužinar 6 4 0 2 12
4 Šmartno 6 3 1 2 10
5 Podvinci 6 3 1 2 10
6 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 9
7 Čarda Martjanci 6 2 2 2 8
8 Ljutomer 6 2 2 2 8
9 Videm 7 2 2 3 8
10 Korotan Prevalje 6 1 4 1 7
11 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 6
12 Šampion Celje 6 1 1 4 4
13 Limbuš Pekre 6 1 1 4 4
14 Rače 6 0 3 3 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Odranci 6 19 10 +9 16
2 Fužinar 6 19 13 +6 12
3 Čarda Martjanci 6 16 12 +4 8
4 Šmartno 6 16 13 +3 10
5 NK Ormoz 6 14 7 +7 13
6 Hajdina 7 13 15 -2 9
7 Videm 7 13 17 -4 8
8 Podvinci 6 11 13 -2 10
9 Ljutomer 6 10 8 +2 8
10 Šampion Celje 6 10 13 -3 4
11 Dobrovce 6 8 16 -8 6
12 Korotan Prevalje 6 6 6 0 7
13 Rače 6 6 9 -3 3
14 Limbuš Pekre 6 5 14 -9 4
3. SNL - East Slovenia. 3. SNL - East Predictions