Korotan Prevalje vs Ljutomer Statistics & Analysis

Korotan Prevalje

Sep 19, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 85%

Ljutomer

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Korotan Prevalje Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8705541

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Korotan Prevalje 1–1 Ljutomer

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - East
Fixture: Korotan Prevalje vs Ljutomer
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Korotan Prevalje 1.35 — Ljutomer 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. SNL - East — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Odranci	7	6	1	0	19
2	Fužinar	7	5	0	2	15
3	NK Ormoz	7	4	1	2	13
4	Šmartno	7	4	1	2	13
5	Čarda Martjanci	7	3	2	2	11
6	Korotan Prevalje	7	2	4	1	10
7	Podvinci	7	3	1	3	10
8	Hajdina	7	2	3	2	9
9	Ljutomer	7	2	2	3	8
10	Videm	8	2	2	4	8
11	Rače	7	1	3	3	6
12	Dobrovce	6	2	0	4	6
13	Šampion Celje	7	1	1	5	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	7	1	1	5	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Odranci	7	24	11	+13	19
2	Fužinar	7	23	16	+7	15
3	Čarda Martjanci	7	18	13	+5	11
4	Šmartno	7	18	14	+4	13
5	NK Ormoz	7	17	11	+6	13
6	Videm	8	14	19	-5	8
7	Hajdina	7	13	15	-2	9
8	Ljutomer	7	11	10	+1	8
9	Podvinci	7	11	14	-3	10
10	Šampion Celje	7	11	18	-7	4
11	Korotan Prevalje	7	9	7	+2	10
12	Dobrovce	6	8	16	-8	6
13	Rače	7	7	9	-2	6
14	Limbuš Pekre	7	6	17	-11	4