Hajdina vs Fužinar Statistics & Analysis

Hajdina

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.24

4 1.36

xG Accuracy: 39%

Fužinar

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Fužinar Fužinar ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8684630

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fužinar win · Hajdina 2–4 Fužinar

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - East
Fixture: Hajdina vs Fužinar
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Hajdina 1.24 — Fužinar 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. SNL - East — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Odranci	7	6	1	0	19
2	Fužinar	7	5	0	2	15
3	NK Ormoz	7	4	1	2	13
4	Šmartno	7	4	1	2	13
5	Čarda Martjanci	7	3	2	2	11
6	Korotan Prevalje	7	2	4	1	10
7	Podvinci	7	3	1	3	10
8	Hajdina	7	2	3	2	9
9	Ljutomer	7	2	2	3	8
10	Videm	8	2	2	4	8
11	Rače	7	1	3	3	6
12	Dobrovce	6	2	0	4	6
13	Šampion Celje	7	1	1	5	4
14	Limbuš Pekre	7	1	1	5	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Odranci	7	24	11	+13	19
2	Fužinar	7	23	16	+7	15
3	Čarda Martjanci	7	18	13	+5	11
4	Šmartno	7	18	14	+4	13
5	NK Ormoz	7	17	11	+6	13
6	Videm	8	14	19	-5	8
7	Hajdina	7	13	15	-2	9
8	Ljutomer	7	11	10	+1	8
9	Podvinci	7	11	14	-3	10
10	Šampion Celje	7	11	18	-7	4
11	Korotan Prevalje	7	9	7	+2	10
12	Dobrovce	6	8	16	-8	6
13	Rače	7	7	9	-2	6
14	Limbuš Pekre	7	6	17	-11	4