Limbuš Pekre vs Hajdina Statistics & Analysis

Limbuš Pekre

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:30

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

Hajdina

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Limbuš Pekre Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7455066

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Limbuš Pekre 1–1 Hajdina

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. SNL - East
Fixture: Limbuš Pekre vs Hajdina
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Limbuš Pekre 1.32 — Hajdina 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

3. SNL - East — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Odranci	4	4	0	0	12
2	NK Ormoz	4	3	0	1	9
3	Podvinci	4	2	1	1	7
4	Šmartno	4	2	1	1	7
5	Hajdina	4	2	1	1	7
6	Fužinar	4	2	0	2	6
7	Ljutomer	4	2	0	2	6
8	Korotan Prevalje	4	1	3	0	6
9	Videm	5	2	0	3	6
10	Šampion Celje	4	1	1	2	4
11	Čarda Martjanci	4	1	1	2	4
12	Limbuš Pekre	4	1	0	3	3
13	Dobrovce	4	1	0	3	3
14	Rače	5	0	2	3	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Odranci	4	13	6	+7	12
2	Fužinar	4	11	8	+3	6
3	NK Ormoz	4	9	6	+3	9
4	Podvinci	4	8	5	+3	7
5	Ljutomer	4	8	6	+2	6
6	Hajdina	4	8	8	0	7
7	Videm	5	8	12	-4	6
8	Šmartno	4	7	5	+2	7
9	Šampion Celje	4	7	7	0	4
10	Čarda Martjanci	4	7	9	-2	4
11	Korotan Prevalje	4	5	3	+2	6
12	Dobrovce	4	5	13	-8	3
13	Rače	5	4	7	-3	2
14	Limbuš Pekre	4	4	9	-5	3