Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 3. SNL - East / Korotan Prevalje vs Čarda Martjanci

Korotan Prevalje vs Čarda Martjanci Statistics & Analysis

Sep 04, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 85%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Korotan Prevalje Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5922582

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Korotan Prevalje 1–1 Čarda Martjanci
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 3. SNL - East
  • Fixture: Korotan Prevalje vs Čarda Martjanci
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Korotan Prevalje 1.31 — Čarda Martjanci 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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3. SNL - East 3. SNL - East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Odranci 7 6 1 0 19
2 Fužinar 7 5 0 2 15
3 NK Ormoz 7 4 1 2 13
4 Šmartno 7 4 1 2 13
5 Čarda Martjanci 7 3 2 2 11
6 Korotan Prevalje 7 2 4 1 10
7 Podvinci 7 3 1 3 10
8 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 9
9 Ljutomer 7 2 2 3 8
10 Videm 8 2 2 4 8
11 Rače 7 1 3 3 6
12 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 6
13 Šampion Celje 7 1 1 5 4
14 Limbuš Pekre 7 1 1 5 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Odranci 7 24 11 +13 19
2 Fužinar 7 23 16 +7 15
3 Čarda Martjanci 7 18 13 +5 11
4 Šmartno 7 18 14 +4 13
5 NK Ormoz 7 17 11 +6 13
6 Videm 8 14 19 -5 8
7 Hajdina 7 13 15 -2 9
8 Ljutomer 7 11 10 +1 8
9 Podvinci 7 11 14 -3 10
10 Šampion Celje 7 11 18 -7 4
11 Korotan Prevalje 7 9 7 +2 10
12 Dobrovce 6 8 16 -8 6
13 Rače 7 7 9 -2 6
14 Limbuš Pekre 7 6 17 -11 4