Statistics / Football / Slovenia. 3. SNL - East / Hajdina vs Čarda Martjanci

Hajdina vs Čarda Martjanci Statistics & Analysis

Hajdina Hajdina
Aug 22, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 52%
Čarda Martjanci Čarda Martjanci
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Čarda Martjanci Hajdina ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4233484

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hajdina win · Hajdina 3–2 Čarda Martjanci
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 3. SNL - East
  • Fixture: Hajdina vs Čarda Martjanci
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Hajdina 1.28 — Čarda Martjanci 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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3. SNL - East 3. SNL - East — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Odranci 4 4 0 0 12
2 NK Ormoz 4 3 0 1 9
3 Podvinci 4 2 1 1 7
4 Šmartno 4 2 1 1 7
5 Hajdina 4 2 1 1 7
6 Fužinar 4 2 0 2 6
7 Ljutomer 4 2 0 2 6
8 Korotan Prevalje 4 1 3 0 6
9 Videm 5 2 0 3 6
10 Šampion Celje 4 1 1 2 4
11 Čarda Martjanci 4 1 1 2 4
12 Limbuš Pekre 4 1 0 3 3
13 Dobrovce 4 1 0 3 3
14 Rače 5 0 2 3 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Odranci 4 13 6 +7 12
2 Fužinar 4 11 8 +3 6
3 NK Ormoz 4 9 6 +3 9
4 Podvinci 4 8 5 +3 7
5 Ljutomer 4 8 6 +2 6
6 Hajdina 4 8 8 0 7
7 Videm 5 8 12 -4 6
8 Šmartno 4 7 5 +2 7
9 Šampion Celje 4 7 7 0 4
10 Čarda Martjanci 4 7 9 -2 4
11 Korotan Prevalje 4 5 3 +2 6
12 Dobrovce 4 5 13 -8 3
13 Rače 5 4 7 -3 2
14 Limbuš Pekre 4 4 9 -5 3
3. SNL - East Slovenia. 3. SNL - East Predictions