Statistics / Football / Luxembourg. National Division / Wiltz vs UNA Strassen

Wiltz vs UNA Strassen Statistics & Analysis

Wiltz Wiltz
Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.09
2 1.51
xG Accuracy: 65%
UNA Strassen UNA Strassen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 UNA Strassen UNA Strassen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13219808

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result UNA Strassen win · Wiltz 0–2 UNA Strassen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National Division
  • Fixture: Wiltz vs UNA Strassen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 25.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away 45.3%
  • xG (showing): Wiltz 1.09 — UNA Strassen 1.51 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
National Division National Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 24
2 FC Differdange 03 8 7 0 1 21
3 US Mondorf-les-bains 8 6 0 2 18
4 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 17
5 Progres Niederkorn 8 5 1 2 16
6 UN Kaerjeng 97 8 5 0 3 15
7 Atert Bissen 8 5 0 3 15
8 Résidence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 15
9 US Hostert 8 3 2 3 11
10 AS Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 7
11 F91 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 7
12 US Rumelange 8 2 0 6 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 5
14 Etzella Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 4
16 Swift Hesperange 8 0 0 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 UN Kaerjeng 97 8 23 15 +8 15
2 Racing FC Union Luxembourg 8 21 8 +13 17
3 FC Differdange 03 8 19 5 +14 21
4 Atert Bissen 8 18 11 +7 15
5 UNA Strassen 8 17 2 +15 24
6 Résidence Walferdange 8 16 10 +6 15
7 US Mondorf-les-bains 8 16 11 +5 18
8 US Hostert 8 14 11 +3 11
9 AS Jeunesse Esch 8 14 17 -3 7
10 Wiltz 8 14 22 -8 4
11 Progres Niederkorn 8 13 5 +8 16
12 Victoria Rosport 8 11 20 -9 5
13 F91 Dudelange 8 8 15 -7 7
14 US Rumelange 8 8 23 -15 6
15 Etzella Ettelbruck 8 6 15 -9 5
16 Swift Hesperange 8 2 30 -28
National Division Luxembourg. National Division Predictions