Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Niedersachsen / Vorsfelde vs Borussia Hildesheim

Vorsfelde vs Borussia Hildesheim Statistics & Analysis

Aug 23, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.33
2 1.27
xG Accuracy: 57%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Vorsfelde Borussia Hildesheim ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 17, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4363434

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Borussia Hildesheim win · Vorsfelde 0–2 Borussia Hildesheim
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Oberliga - Niedersachsen
  • Fixture: Vorsfelde vs Borussia Hildesheim
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-23 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Vorsfelde 1.33 — Borussia Hildesheim 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Niedersachsen Oberliga - Niedersachsen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Borussia Hildesheim 8 6 0 2 18
2 Heeslinger SC 7 5 2 0 17
3 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 8 5 2 1 17
4 Spelle-Venhaus 7 4 3 0 15
5 Wilhelmshaven 7 4 2 1 14
6 BW Lohne 8 4 2 2 14
7 Eintracht Braunschw. II 7 4 1 2 13
8 Bersenbrück 7 3 1 3 10
9 Nordhorn 7 3 1 3 10
10 Hemmingen 8 2 1 5 7
11 Verden 04 7 1 3 3 6
12 Germania Egestorf 7 1 2 4 5
13 Lüneburger SK Hansa 7 0 4 3 4
14 Meppen II 7 1 1 5 4
15 Vorsfelde 7 1 1 5 4
16 Drochtersen/Assel II 7 1 0 6 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eintracht Braunschw. II 7 25 13 +12 13
2 Heeslinger SC 7 22 5 +17 17
3 Spelle-Venhaus 7 17 7 +10 15
4 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 8 17 9 +8 17
5 BW Lohne 8 17 12 +5 14
6 Borussia Hildesheim 8 15 8 +7 18
7 Wilhelmshaven 7 13 4 +9 14
8 Bersenbrück 7 11 10 +1 10
9 Lüneburger SK Hansa 7 11 14 -3 4
10 Meppen II 7 11 22 -11 4
11 Nordhorn 7 9 15 -6 10
12 Drochtersen/Assel II 7 9 16 -7 3
13 Germania Egestorf 7 9 21 -12 5
14 Hemmingen 8 9 22 -13 7
15 Verden 04 7 8 12 -4 6
16 Vorsfelde 7 4 17 -13 4