Statistics / Football / England. National League - South / Braintree vs Tonbridge Angels

Braintree vs Tonbridge Angels Statistics & Analysis

Braintree Braintree
Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.29
4 1.31
xG Accuracy: 34%
Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2820609

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tonbridge Angels win · Braintree 0–4 Tonbridge Angels
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National League - South
  • Fixture: Braintree vs Tonbridge Angels
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Braintree 1.29 — Tonbridge Angels 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.1% · Probability edge: +3.7 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
National League - South National League - South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maidstone Utd 9 6 1 2 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 17
3 Dagenham & Redbridge 9 5 1 3 16
4 Tonbridge Angels 9 4 2 3 14
5 Truro City 7 4 2 1 14
6 Dover 9 4 2 3 14
7 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 13
8 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13
9 Farnham Town 8 4 1 3 13
10 Salisbury 8 3 3 2 12
11 Folkestone Invicta 8 3 3 2 12
12 Billericay Town 8 3 3 2 12
13 Chesham United 9 3 1 5 10
14 Chelmsford City 8 1 7 0 10
15 Horsham 8 2 4 2 10
16 Hemel Hempstead Town 9 2 4 3 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 10
18 Braintree 7 3 1 3 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 8
22 Ebbsfleet United 3 1 2 0 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tonbridge Angels 9 18 9 +9 14
2 Dorking Wanderers 9 18 13 +5 13
3 Maidstone Utd 9 17 9 +8 19
4 Weston-super-Mare 9 16 7 +9 17
5 Chesham United 9 16 15 +1 10
6 Salisbury 8 15 7 +8 12
7 Folkestone Invicta 8 15 9 +6 12
8 Billericay Town 8 15 12 +3 12
9 Dover 9 15 16 -1 14
10 Torquay 9 13 11 +2 13
11 Truro City 7 11 3 +8 14
12 Farnham Town 8 11 10 +1 13
13 Braintree 7 11 15 -4 10
14 Hampton & Richmond 9 11 23 -12 8
15 Dagenham & Redbridge 9 9 7 +2 16
16 Chelmsford City 8 9 8 +1 10
17 Horsham 8 9 10 -1 10
18 Slough Town 8 9 21 -12 3
19 Hemel Hempstead Town 9 8 10 -2 10
20 Maidenhead 9 8 11 -3 10
21 AFC Totton 8 8 13 -5 10
22 Farnborough 8 6 11 -5 10
23 Walton & Hersham 8 4 24 -20 1
24 Ebbsfleet United 3 3 1 +2 5