Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II Statistics & Analysis

Köln II

Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.26

2 1.34

xG Accuracy: 78%

Borussia M'gladbach II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Borussia M'gladbach II Borussia M'gladbach II ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13207533

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Borussia M'gladbach II win · Köln II 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga - West
Fixture: Köln II vs Borussia M'gladbach II
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Köln II 1.26 — Borussia M'gladbach II 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - West — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	12	10	1	1	31
2	Borussia Dortmund II	12	8	4	0	28
3	FC Gutersloh	12	7	2	3	23
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	11	6	2	3	20
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	12	5	4	3	19
6	Schalke 04 II	11	6	0	5	18
7	Westfalia Rhynern	12	5	2	5	17
8	Bergisch Gladbach	12	5	1	6	16
9	Bonner SC	11	3	6	2	15
10	Hilden	12	4	3	5	15
11	Köln II	10	4	2	4	14
12	FC Bocholt	12	3	4	5	13
13	Paderborn II	12	3	4	5	13
14	SG Wattenscheid 09	12	3	3	6	12
15	Bochum II	11	3	2	6	11
16	SV Rodinghausen	11	2	3	6	9
17	Wiedenbrück	11	2	2	7	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	12	1	3	8	6

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	12	31	10	+21	31
2	Borussia Dortmund II	12	26	13	+13	28
3	FC Gutersloh	12	26	18	+8	23
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	11	25	13	+12	20
5	Schalke 04 II	11	25	21	+4	18
6	FC Bocholt	12	25	29	-4	13
7	Sportfreunde Siegen	12	24	18	+6	19
8	Bonner SC	11	21	20	+1	15
9	Westfalia Rhynern	12	20	23	-3	17
10	Bergisch Gladbach	12	20	27	-7	16
11	Köln II	10	19	18	+1	14
12	Paderborn II	12	19	23	-4	13
13	SG Wattenscheid 09	12	18	23	-5	12
14	Hilden	12	17	23	-6	15
15	SV Rodinghausen	11	15	20	-5	9
16	Bochum II	11	14	20	-6	11
17	Wiedenbrück	11	14	26	-12	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	12	8	22	-14	6