Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - West / FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen

FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen Statistics & Analysis

FC Gutersloh FC Gutersloh
Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.34
5 1.26
xG Accuracy: 25%
Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Gutersloh Sportfreunde Siegen ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13198934

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sportfreunde Siegen win · FC Gutersloh 0–5 Sportfreunde Siegen
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga - West
  • Fixture: FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Siegen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): FC Gutersloh 1.34 — Sportfreunde Siegen 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 28.1% · Probability edge: +23.7 pts · Est. EV: +68.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - West Regionalliga - West — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen 12 10 1 1 31
2 Borussia Dortmund II 12 8 4 0 28
3 FC Gutersloh 12 7 2 3 23
4 Borussia M'gladbach II 11 6 2 3 20
5 Sportfreunde Siegen 12 5 4 3 19
6 Schalke 04 II 11 6 0 5 18
7 Westfalia Rhynern 12 5 2 5 17
8 Bergisch Gladbach 12 5 1 6 16
9 Bonner SC 11 3 6 2 15
10 Hilden 12 4 3 5 15
11 Köln II 10 4 2 4 14
12 FC Bocholt 12 3 4 5 13
13 Paderborn II 12 3 4 5 13
14 SG Wattenscheid 09 12 3 3 6 12
15 Bochum II 11 3 2 6 11
16 SV Rodinghausen 11 2 3 6 9
17 Wiedenbrück 11 2 2 7 8
18 Sportfreunde Lotte 12 1 3 8 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen 12 31 10 +21 31
2 Borussia Dortmund II 12 26 13 +13 28
3 FC Gutersloh 12 26 18 +8 23
4 Borussia M'gladbach II 11 25 13 +12 20
5 Schalke 04 II 11 25 21 +4 18
6 FC Bocholt 12 25 29 -4 13
7 Sportfreunde Siegen 12 24 18 +6 19
8 Bonner SC 11 21 20 +1 15
9 Westfalia Rhynern 12 20 23 -3 17
10 Bergisch Gladbach 12 20 27 -7 16
11 Köln II 10 19 18 +1 14
12 Paderborn II 12 19 23 -4 13
13 SG Wattenscheid 09 12 18 23 -5 12
14 Hilden 12 17 23 -6 15
15 SV Rodinghausen 11 15 20 -5 9
16 Bochum II 11 14 20 -6 11
17 Wiedenbrück 11 14 26 -12 8
18 Sportfreunde Lotte 12 8 22 -14 6
Regionalliga - West Germany. Regionalliga - West Predictions