Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - West / Bonner SC vs Westfalia Rhynern

Bonner SC vs Westfalia Rhynern Statistics & Analysis

Bonner SC Bonner SC
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:30
2 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 79%
Westfalia Rhynern Westfalia Rhynern
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bonner SC Bonner SC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10977703

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bonner SC win · Bonner SC 2–1 Westfalia Rhynern
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - West
  • Fixture: Bonner SC vs Westfalia Rhynern
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Bonner SC 1.37 — Westfalia Rhynern 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - West Regionalliga - West — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rot-weiss Oberhausen 10 8 1 1 25
2 FC Gutersloh 11 7 2 2 23
3 Borussia Dortmund II 10 6 4 0 22
4 Borussia M'gladbach II 11 6 2 3 20
5 Westfalia Rhynern 11 5 2 4 17
6 Sportfreunde Siegen 10 4 4 2 16
7 Bergisch Gladbach 11 5 1 5 16
8 Bonner SC 11 3 6 2 15
9 Schalke 04 II 10 5 0 5 15
10 Köln II 10 4 2 4 14
11 Paderborn II 10 3 4 3 13
12 FC Bocholt 11 3 4 4 13
13 SG Wattenscheid 09 11 3 3 5 12
14 Hilden 11 3 3 5 12
15 Bochum II 11 3 2 6 11
16 SV Rodinghausen 11 2 3 6 9
17 Wiedenbrück 11 2 2 7 8
18 Sportfreunde Lotte 11 0 3 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Gutersloh 11 26 13 +13 23
2 Borussia M'gladbach II 11 25 13 +12 20
3 Rot-weiss Oberhausen 10 24 9 +15 25
4 FC Bocholt 11 24 26 -2 13
5 Bonner SC 11 21 20 +1 15
6 Borussia Dortmund II 10 20 10 +10 22
7 Schalke 04 II 10 20 20 0 15
8 Westfalia Rhynern 11 20 22 -2 17
9 Köln II 10 19 18 +1 14
10 Paderborn II 10 19 18 +1 13
11 Bergisch Gladbach 11 19 22 -3 16
12 Sportfreunde Siegen 10 18 15 +3 16
13 SG Wattenscheid 09 11 16 20 -4 12
14 Hilden 11 16 23 -7 12
15 SV Rodinghausen 11 15 20 -5 9
16 Bochum II 11 14 20 -6 11
17 Wiedenbrück 11 14 26 -12 8
18 Sportfreunde Lotte 11 7 22 -15 3
Regionalliga - West Germany. Regionalliga - West Predictions