SV Sandhausen vs Kaiserslautern II Statistics & Analysis

SV Sandhausen

Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 85%

Kaiserslautern II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 SV Sandhausen Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10976094

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · SV Sandhausen 1–1 Kaiserslautern II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga - SudWest
Fixture: SV Sandhausen vs Kaiserslautern II
Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): SV Sandhausen 1.35 — Kaiserslautern II 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	9	5	4	0	19
2	Kickers Offenbach	9	6	1	2	19
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	9	5	2	2	17
4	Eintracht Trier	9	5	1	3	16
5	VfR Aalen	9	4	3	2	15
6	VfR Mannheim	9	3	5	1	14
7	FC 08 Homburg	9	4	2	3	14
8	Freiburg II	8	3	4	1	13
9	FSV Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	12
10	TSV Steinbach	9	3	3	3	12
11	SV Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	12
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	10
13	Hessen Kassel	9	3	1	5	10
14	FSV Mainz 05 II	9	3	0	6	9
15	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	8
16	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	6
17	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	9	1	2	6	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	9	0	4	5	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	9	24	9	+15	19
2	Kickers Offenbach	9	20	11	+9	19
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	9	17	13	+4	17
4	Freiburg II	8	16	11	+5	13
5	Hessen Kassel	9	15	17	-2	10
6	SV Sandhausen	9	15	19	-4	12
7	VfR Mannheim	9	14	9	+5	14
8	VfR Aalen	9	14	10	+4	15
9	FSV Frankfurt	8	13	9	+4	12
10	TSV Steinbach	9	13	13	0	12
11	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	9	13	21	-8	5
12	FC 08 Homburg	9	12	12	0	14
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	11	12	-1	10
14	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	11	17	-6	6
15	SSV Ulm 1846	9	11	19	-8	4
16	Eintracht Trier	9	10	7	+3	16
17	FSV Mainz 05 II	9	10	19	-9	9
18	Kaiserslautern II	8	6	17	-11	8