FSV Frankfurt vs Stuttgarter Kickers Statistics & Analysis

FSV Frankfurt

Sep 18, 2026 - 17:00

0 1.33

1 1.27

xG Accuracy: 64%

Stuttgarter Kickers

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
1X2 FSV Frankfurt Stuttgarter Kickers ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8210668

Closing Odds 2.49

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Stuttgarter Kickers win · FSV Frankfurt 0–1 Stuttgarter Kickers

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 11.1 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
FSV Frankfurt (1X2)	36.6	35.8	+0.8
Draw (1X2)	29.6	27.4	+2.2
Stuttgarter Kickers (1X2)	33.8	36.8	-3.0
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	59.3	-11.1
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	40.7	+11.1

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 40.7%. The difference — about 11.1 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
FSV Frankfurt (1X2)	2.56	2.56
Draw (1X2)	3.34	3.34
Stuttgarter Kickers (1X2)	2.49	2.49
Over 2.5 goals	1.57	1.57
Under 2.5 goals	2.29	2.29

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga - SudWest
Fixture: FSV Frankfurt vs Stuttgarter Kickers
Kickoff: 2026-09-18 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): FSV Frankfurt 1.33 — Stuttgarter Kickers 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.9% · Probability edge: +10.9 pts · Est. EV: +18.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for FSV Frankfurt & Stuttgarter Kickers!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kickers Offenbach	8	6	1	1	19
2	SGV Freiberg	8	5	3	0	18
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	5	1	2	16
4	FC 08 Homburg	8	4	2	2	14
5	Freiburg II	8	3	4	1	13
6	Eintracht Trier	8	4	1	3	13
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	12
8	VfR Aalen	8	3	3	2	12
9	SV Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	12
10	VfR Mannheim	8	2	5	1	11
11	Hessen Kassel	8	3	1	4	10
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	10
13	TSV Steinbach	8	2	3	3	9
14	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	8
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	6
16	FSV Mainz 05 II	8	2	0	6	6
17	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	8	1	2	5	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	8	0	4	4	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	8	22	7	+15	18
2	Kickers Offenbach	8	19	8	+11	19
3	Freiburg II	8	16	11	+5	13
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	15	11	+4	16
5	SV Sandhausen	9	15	19	-4	12
6	Hessen Kassel	8	14	15	-1	10
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	13	9	+4	12
8	FC 08 Homburg	8	12	11	+1	14
9	TSV Steinbach	8	12	13	-1	9
10	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	8	12	16	-4	5
11	VfR Aalen	8	11	9	+2	12
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	11	12	-1	10
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	11	17	-6	6
14	SSV Ulm 1846	8	11	18	-7	4
15	Eintracht Trier	8	9	7	+2	13
16	VfR Mannheim	8	9	8	+1	11
17	FSV Mainz 05 II	8	8	18	-10	6
18	Kaiserslautern II	8	6	17	-11	8