VfR Mannheim vs Eintracht Trier Statistics & Analysis

VfR Mannheim

Aug 16, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.35

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 74%

Eintracht Trier

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 VfR Mannheim Eintracht Trier ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3603370

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Eintracht Trier win · VfR Mannheim 1–2 Eintracht Trier

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga - SudWest
Fixture: VfR Mannheim vs Eintracht Trier
Kickoff: 2026-08-16 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): VfR Mannheim 1.35 — Eintracht Trier 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kickers Offenbach	8	6	1	1	19
2	SGV Freiberg	8	5	3	0	18
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	5	1	2	16
4	FC 08 Homburg	8	4	2	2	14
5	Freiburg II	8	3	4	1	13
6	Eintracht Trier	8	4	1	3	13
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	12
8	VfR Aalen	8	3	3	2	12
9	SV Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	12
10	VfR Mannheim	8	2	5	1	11
11	Hessen Kassel	8	3	1	4	10
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	10
13	TSV Steinbach	8	2	3	3	9
14	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	8
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	6
16	FSV Mainz 05 II	8	2	0	6	6
17	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	8	1	2	5	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	8	0	4	4	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	8	22	7	+15	18
2	Kickers Offenbach	8	19	8	+11	19
3	Freiburg II	8	16	11	+5	13
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	15	11	+4	16
5	SV Sandhausen	9	15	19	-4	12
6	Hessen Kassel	8	14	15	-1	10
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	13	9	+4	12
8	FC 08 Homburg	8	12	11	+1	14
9	TSV Steinbach	8	12	13	-1	9
10	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	8	12	16	-4	5
11	VfR Aalen	8	11	9	+2	12
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	11	12	-1	10
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	11	17	-6	6
14	SSV Ulm 1846	8	11	18	-7	4
15	Eintracht Trier	8	9	7	+2	13
16	VfR Mannheim	8	9	8	+1	11
17	FSV Mainz 05 II	8	8	18	-10	6
18	Kaiserslautern II	8	6	17	-11	8