Eintracht Trier vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Statistics & Analysis

Eintracht Trier

Aug 08, 2026 - 12:00

0 1.25

1 1.35

xG Accuracy: 64%

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2814168

Closing Odds 2.28

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win · Eintracht Trier 0–1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1X2) by about 6.0 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Eintracht Trier (1X2)	32.9	40.2	-7.3
Draw (1X2)	29.6	28.3	+1.3
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1X2)	37.6	31.6	+6.0
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	50.7	-2.5
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	49.3	+2.5

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 37.6% on Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 31.6%. The difference — about 6.0 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Eintracht Trier (1X2)	2.28	2.28
Draw (1X2)	3.24	3.24
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1X2)	2.9	2.9
Over 2.5 goals	1.87	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	1.92	1.92

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga - SudWest
Fixture: Eintracht Trier vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Eintracht Trier 1.25 — Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Eintracht Trier & Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kickers Offenbach	8	6	1	1	19
2	SGV Freiberg	8	5	3	0	18
3	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	5	1	2	16
4	FC 08 Homburg	8	4	2	2	14
5	Freiburg II	8	3	4	1	13
6	Eintracht Trier	8	4	1	3	13
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	3	3	2	12
8	VfR Aalen	8	3	3	2	12
9	SV Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	12
10	VfR Mannheim	8	2	5	1	11
11	Hessen Kassel	8	3	1	4	10
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	3	1	4	10
13	TSV Steinbach	8	2	3	3	9
14	Kaiserslautern II	8	2	2	4	8
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	1	3	5	6
16	FSV Mainz 05 II	8	2	0	6	6
17	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	8	1	2	5	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	8	0	4	4	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	8	22	7	+15	18
2	Kickers Offenbach	8	19	8	+11	19
3	Freiburg II	8	16	11	+5	13
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	8	15	11	+4	16
5	SV Sandhausen	9	15	19	-4	12
6	Hessen Kassel	8	14	15	-1	10
7	FSV Frankfurt	8	13	9	+4	12
8	FC 08 Homburg	8	12	11	+1	14
9	TSV Steinbach	8	12	13	-1	9
10	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	8	12	16	-4	5
11	VfR Aalen	8	11	9	+2	12
12	Eintracht Frankfurt II	8	11	12	-1	10
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	9	11	17	-6	6
14	SSV Ulm 1846	8	11	18	-7	4
15	Eintracht Trier	8	9	7	+2	13
16	VfR Mannheim	8	9	8	+1	11
17	FSV Mainz 05 II	8	8	18	-10	6
18	Kaiserslautern II	8	6	17	-11	8