Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - Nordost / Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo

Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo Statistics & Analysis

Altglienicke Altglienicke
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 64%
BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Altglienicke BFC Dynamo ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698239

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result BFC Dynamo win · Altglienicke 0–1 BFC Dynamo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Regionalliga - Nordost
  • Fixture: Altglienicke vs BFC Dynamo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Altglienicke 1.37 — BFC Dynamo 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 28.1% · Probability edge: +23.7 pts · Est. EV: +68.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - Nordost Regionalliga - Nordost — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 11 8 3 0 27
2 Chemnitzer FC 11 8 2 1 26
3 Hallescher FC 11 6 4 1 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 21
6 Erzgebirge Aue 11 6 3 2 21
7 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 11 6 1 4 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 15
10 FSV Zwickau 11 4 3 4 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 13
12 SV Babelsberg 03 11 3 3 5 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 10
14 BSG Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 9
15 Hertha BSC II 11 2 3 6 9
16 RSV Eintracht 11 1 3 7 6
17 Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 11 36 11 +25 27
2 Chemnitzer FC 11 25 5 +20 26
3 Greifswalder FC 11 23 16 +7 19
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 23 23 0 15
5 BFC Dynamo 11 20 12 +8 21
6 Altglienicke 11 20 14 +6 21
7 Erzgebirge Aue 11 20 16 +4 21
8 Magdeburg II 11 20 23 -3 13
9 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 11 19 10 +9 19
10 Hallescher FC 11 18 9 +9 22
11 SV Babelsberg 03 11 14 17 -3 12
12 BFC Preussen 11 14 17 -3 10
13 FSV Zwickau 11 13 17 -4 15
14 RSV Eintracht 11 13 29 -16 6
15 Tasmania Berlin 11 13 36 -23 5
16 BSG Chemie Leipzig 11 12 17 -5 9
17 Hertha BSC II 11 9 21 -12 9
18 Luckenwalde 11 9 28 -19 3
Regionalliga - Nordost Germany. Regionalliga - Nordost Predictions