Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - Nordost / Hallescher FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Hallescher FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena Statistics & Analysis

Sep 15, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.33
0 1.27
xG Accuracy: 59%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 02:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7703398

Closing Odds 2.51
AI Fair Odds
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Hallescher FC win · Hallescher FC 2–0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Hallescher FC (1X2) 36.6 36.5 +0.1
Draw (1X2) 29.6 29.7 -0.0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena (1X2) 33.8 33.8 -0.1
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 47.8 +0.4
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 52.2 -0.4

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Hallescher FC (1X2) 2.51 2.51 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.09 3.09 0.0
FC Carl Zeiss Jena (1X2) 2.71 2.71 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.98 1.98 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 1.81 1.81 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga - Nordost
  • Fixture: Hallescher FC vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-15 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Hallescher FC 1.33 — FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - Nordost Regionalliga - NordostStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7 5 2 0 17
2 Chemnitzer FC 7 5 2 0 17
3 Erzgebirge Aue 7 4 2 1 14
4 Magdeburg II 7 4 1 2 13
5 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 7 4 1 2 13
6 FSV Zwickau 7 4 1 2 13
7 Greifswalder FC 7 3 3 1 12
8 Altglienicke 7 3 3 1 12
9 Hallescher FC 7 3 3 1 12
10 BFC Dynamo 7 3 2 2 11
11 Lokomotive Leipzig 7 3 1 3 10
12 RSV Eintracht 7 1 3 3 6
13 SV Babelsberg 03 7 1 2 4 5
14 Hertha BSC II 7 1 2 4 5
15 Tasmania Berlin 7 1 1 5 4
16 BFC Preussen 7 0 3 4 3
17 Luckenwalde 7 1 0 6 3
18 BSG Chemie Leipzig 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 7 23 5 +18 17
2 Magdeburg II 7 17 12 +5 13
3 Chemnitzer FC 7 16 3 +13 17
4 Greifswalder FC 7 15 10 +5 12
5 Altglienicke 7 14 10 +4 12
6 Erzgebirge Aue 7 13 10 +3 14
7 Lokomotive Leipzig 7 13 13 0 10
8 RSV Eintracht 7 11 15 -4 6
9 FC Carl Zeiss Jena 7 10 5 +5 13
10 BFC Dynamo 7 10 8 +2 11
11 Hallescher FC 7 9 5 +4 12
12 SV Babelsberg 03 7 9 12 -3 5
13 FSV Zwickau 7 8 9 -1 13
14 Tasmania Berlin 7 8 22 -14 4
15 BFC Preussen 7 5 12 -7 3
16 Hertha BSC II 7 5 15 -10 5
17 Luckenwalde 7 5 18 -13 3
18 BSG Chemie Leipzig 7 2 9 -7 2