SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hallescher FC Statistics & Analysis

SV Babelsberg 03

Sep 12, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.26

1 1.34

xG Accuracy: 85%

Hallescher FC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Hallescher FC Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7427549

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · SV Babelsberg 03 1–1 Hallescher FC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga - Nordost
Fixture: SV Babelsberg 03 vs Hallescher FC
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): SV Babelsberg 03 1.26 — Hallescher FC 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - Nordost — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	7	5	2	0	17
2	Chemnitzer FC	7	5	2	0	17
3	Erzgebirge Aue	7	4	2	1	14
4	Magdeburg II	7	4	1	2	13
5	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	7	4	1	2	13
6	FSV Zwickau	7	4	1	2	13
7	Greifswalder FC	7	3	3	1	12
8	Altglienicke	7	3	3	1	12
9	Hallescher FC	7	3	3	1	12
10	BFC Dynamo	7	3	2	2	11
11	Lokomotive Leipzig	7	3	1	3	10
12	RSV Eintracht	7	1	3	3	6
13	SV Babelsberg 03	7	1	2	4	5
14	Hertha BSC II	7	1	2	4	5
15	Tasmania Berlin	7	1	1	5	4
16	BFC Preussen	7	0	3	4	3
17	Luckenwalde	7	1	0	6	3
18	BSG Chemie Leipzig	7	0	2	5	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	7	23	5	+18	17
2	Magdeburg II	7	17	12	+5	13
3	Chemnitzer FC	7	16	3	+13	17
4	Greifswalder FC	7	15	10	+5	12
5	Altglienicke	7	14	10	+4	12
6	Erzgebirge Aue	7	13	10	+3	14
7	Lokomotive Leipzig	7	13	13	0	10
8	RSV Eintracht	7	11	15	-4	6
9	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	7	10	5	+5	13
10	BFC Dynamo	7	10	8	+2	11
11	Hallescher FC	7	9	5	+4	12
12	SV Babelsberg 03	7	9	12	-3	5
13	FSV Zwickau	7	8	9	-1	13
14	Tasmania Berlin	7	8	22	-14	4
15	BFC Preussen	7	5	12	-7	3
16	Hertha BSC II	7	5	15	-10	5
17	Luckenwalde	7	5	18	-13	3
18	BSG Chemie Leipzig	7	2	9	-7	2