Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - Nord / VfB Lübeck vs Eimsbütteler TV

VfB Lübeck vs Eimsbütteler TV Statistics & Analysis

VfB Lübeck VfB Lübeck
Oct 02, 2026 - 17:30
0 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 49%
Eimsbütteler TV Eimsbütteler TV
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 VfB Lübeck Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10977563

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · VfB Lübeck 0–0 Eimsbütteler TV
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - Nord
  • Fixture: VfB Lübeck vs Eimsbütteler TV
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): VfB Lübeck 1.34 — Eimsbütteler TV 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - Nord Regionalliga - Nord — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Weiche Flensburg 13 10 1 2 31
2 SV Drochtersen/Assel 13 9 1 3 28
3 Hannover 96 II 13 8 3 2 27
4 Phönix Lübeck 12 8 2 2 26
5 VfB Oldenburg 12 8 1 3 25
6 Schöningen 13 7 3 3 24
7 Kickers Emden 13 5 3 5 18
8 Atlas Delmenhorst 12 4 4 4 16
9 HSC Hannover 13 4 4 5 16
10 VfB Lübeck 13 3 6 4 15
11 Eimsbütteler TV 13 4 2 7 14
12 Eintracht Norderstedt 12 3 4 5 13
13 Hamburger SV II 12 4 1 7 13
14 Werder Bremen II 12 3 3 6 12
15 Todesfelde 13 3 2 8 11
16 St. Pauli II 12 3 1 8 10
17 SSV Jeddeloh 13 3 1 9 10
18 Bremer SV 12 2 2 8 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 SV Drochtersen/Assel 13 43 18 +25 28
2 Weiche Flensburg 13 40 14 +26 31
3 VfB Oldenburg 12 37 17 +20 25
4 Phönix Lübeck 12 34 10 +24 26
5 Kickers Emden 13 32 36 -4 18
6 Hannover 96 II 13 28 16 +12 27
7 Eintracht Norderstedt 12 24 31 -7 13
8 St. Pauli II 12 23 25 -2 10
9 HSC Hannover 13 21 29 -8 16
10 Eimsbütteler TV 13 21 35 -14 14
11 Todesfelde 13 21 42 -21 11
12 Schöningen 13 20 20 0 24
13 SSV Jeddeloh 13 19 34 -15 10
14 Hamburger SV II 12 18 26 -8 13
15 Atlas Delmenhorst 12 17 20 -3 16
16 Werder Bremen II 12 16 20 -4 12
17 VfB Lübeck 13 16 22 -6 15
18 Bremer SV 12 9 24 -15 8
Regionalliga - Nord Germany. Regionalliga - Nord Predictions