Hannover 96 II vs Phönix Lübeck Statistics & Analysis

Hannover 96 II

Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00

3 1.39

2 1.21

xG Accuracy: 52%

Phönix Lübeck

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11233965

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hannover 96 II win · Hannover 96 II 3–2 Phönix Lübeck

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga - Nord
Fixture: Hannover 96 II vs Phönix Lübeck
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Hannover 96 II 1.39 — Phönix Lübeck 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - Nord — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	12	9	1	2	28
2	SV Drochtersen/Assel	12	8	1	3	25
3	Schöningen	11	7	3	1	24
4	Phönix Lübeck	11	7	2	2	23
5	VfB Oldenburg	11	7	1	3	22
6	Hannover 96 II	11	6	3	2	21
7	Kickers Emden	12	5	3	4	18
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	11	4	3	4	15
9	Eimsbütteler TV	12	4	2	6	14
10	Eintracht Norderstedt	11	3	4	4	13
11	VfB Lübeck	12	2	6	4	12
12	Werder Bremen II	10	3	2	5	11
13	Todesfelde	12	3	2	7	11
14	St. Pauli II	11	3	1	7	10
15	Hamburger SV II	11	3	1	7	10
16	HSC Hannover	11	2	4	5	10
17	SSV Jeddeloh	12	3	1	8	10
18	Bremer SV	11	2	2	7	8

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	SV Drochtersen/Assel	12	40	18	+22	25
2	Weiche Flensburg	12	36	14	+22	28
3	VfB Oldenburg	11	33	17	+16	22
4	Kickers Emden	12	32	32	0	18
5	Phönix Lübeck	11	30	9	+21	23
6	Hannover 96 II	11	24	16	+8	21
7	Eintracht Norderstedt	11	23	27	-4	13
8	Eimsbütteler TV	12	21	33	-12	14
9	Todesfelde	12	21	38	-17	11
10	St. Pauli II	11	20	21	-1	10
11	Schöningen	11	19	15	+4	24
12	SSV Jeddeloh	12	18	32	-14	10
13	Atlas Delmenhorst	11	17	20	-3	15
14	Werder Bremen II	10	16	18	-2	11
15	Hamburger SV II	11	15	25	-10	10
16	HSC Hannover	11	15	26	-11	10
17	VfB Lübeck	12	14	21	-7	12
18	Bremer SV	11	9	21	-12	8