Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - Nord / Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II

Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II Statistics & Analysis

Todesfelde Todesfelde
Aug 09, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.20
3 1.40
xG Accuracy: 39%
Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Werder Bremen II Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 01:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2962389

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Todesfelde 3–3 Werder Bremen II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - Nord
  • Fixture: Todesfelde vs Werder Bremen II
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-09 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Todesfelde 1.2 — Werder Bremen II 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga - Nord Regionalliga - Nord — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Weiche Flensburg 8 7 1 0 22
2 Schöningen 8 6 2 0 20
3 VfB Oldenburg 8 6 1 1 19
4 Phönix Lübeck 8 5 2 1 17
5 SV Drochtersen/Assel 8 5 0 3 15
6 Hannover 96 II 8 4 2 2 14
7 Kickers Emden 8 3 3 2 12
8 Atlas Delmenhorst 8 3 2 3 11
9 Eintracht Norderstedt 7 2 3 2 9
10 HSC Hannover 8 2 3 3 9
11 Eimsbütteler TV 8 3 0 5 9
12 Todesfelde 7 2 2 3 8
13 Hamburger SV II 8 2 1 5 7
14 Bremer SV 7 1 2 4 5
15 Werder Bremen II 8 1 2 5 5
16 St. Pauli II 7 1 1 5 4
17 VfB Lübeck 8 0 4 4 4
18 SSV Jeddeloh 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Weiche Flensburg 8 28 8 +20 22
2 VfB Oldenburg 8 26 11 +15 19
3 Kickers Emden 8 22 22 0 12
4 SV Drochtersen/Assel 8 21 11 +10 15
5 Phönix Lübeck 8 17 5 +12 17
6 Hannover 96 II 8 16 11 +5 14
7 Todesfelde 7 16 20 -4 8
8 Eimsbütteler TV 8 16 27 -11 9
9 Schöningen 8 14 6 +8 20
10 Eintracht Norderstedt 7 14 14 0 9
11 Atlas Delmenhorst 8 13 14 -1 11
12 St. Pauli II 7 12 18 -6 4
13 HSC Hannover 8 11 17 -6 9
14 Hamburger SV II 8 11 19 -8 7
15 SSV Jeddeloh 8 8 20 -12 4
16 Werder Bremen II 8 7 14 -7 5
17 VfB Lübeck 8 7 16 -9 4
18 Bremer SV 7 6 12 -6 5
Regionalliga - Nord Germany. Regionalliga - Nord Predictions