Statistics / Football / Germany. Regionalliga - Bayern / Bayreuth vs Landsberg

Bayreuth vs Landsberg Statistics & Analysis

Bayreuth Bayreuth
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00
5 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 25%
Landsberg Landsberg
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Landsberg Bayreuth ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11226775

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bayreuth win · Bayreuth 5–0 Landsberg
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Regionalliga - Bayern
  • Fixture: Bayreuth vs Landsberg
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Bayreuth 1.29 — Landsberg 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - Bayern Regionalliga - Bayern — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 24
3 Eichstätt 12 6 3 3 21
4 TSV 1860 München 11 5 5 1 20
5 SpVgg Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 18
7 Wacker Burghausen 12 5 2 5 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 16
10 Bayern München II 11 4 3 4 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 15
13 Nürnberg II 11 4 1 6 13
14 FC Schweinfurt 05 11 3 3 5 12
15 Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 12
16 Greuther Fürth II 11 3 2 6 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10
18 Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wacker Burghausen 12 27 20 +7 17
2 Buchbach 12 25 11 +14 27
3 TSV 1860 München 11 24 13 +11 20
4 Bayreuth 12 22 18 +4 16
5 Nürnberg II 11 21 17 +4 13
6 Illertissen 11 20 15 +5 18
7 Vilzing 11 18 18 0 16
8 Augsburg II 12 18 26 -8 15
9 Eltersdorf 11 17 16 +1 15
10 FC Schweinfurt 05 11 16 24 -8 12
11 SpVgg Unterhaching 11 15 10 +5 20
12 Eichstätt 12 15 15 0 21
13 Greuther Fürth II 11 15 18 -3 11
14 Memmingen 12 14 7 +7 24
15 Bayern München II 11 14 12 +2 15
16 Aubstadt 11 14 20 -6 8
17 Schwaben Augsburg 12 14 23 -9 12
18 Landsberg 11 10 21 -11 7
19 Ansbach 11 10 25 -15 10
Regionalliga - Bayern Germany. Regionalliga - Bayern Predictions