Statistics / Football / Turkey. 1. Lig / Van BB vs Bandırmaspor

Van BB vs Bandırmaspor Statistics & Analysis

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.15
2 1.46
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698060

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bandırmaspor win · Van BB 0–2 Bandırmaspor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Lig
  • Fixture: Van BB vs Bandırmaspor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.6% · Draw 29.0% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Van BB 1.15 — Bandırmaspor 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.61)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Lig 1. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 19
3 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 5 1 2 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 16
5 Sarıyer 8 4 2 2 14
6 Keçiörengücü 8 3 4 1 13
7 Mardin BB 8 3 3 2 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 12
9 Fatih Karagümrük 8 3 3 2 12
10 Muğlaspor 8 2 5 1 11
11 Bandırmaspor 8 2 4 2 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10
13 Manisa BBSK 8 2 3 3 9
14 BB Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 8
16 Ümraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 5
18 İstanbulspor 8 1 2 5 5
19 Van BB 8 1 3 4 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Keçiörengücü 8 17 10 +7 13
2 Bursaspor 8 16 7 +9 19
3 Kayserispor 8 15 3 +12 19
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 15 13 +2 16
5 Antalyaspor 8 14 13 +1 12
6 Bandırmaspor 8 12 5 +7 10
7 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 12 7 +5 16
8 Fatih Karagümrük 8 12 11 +1 12
9 Manisa BBSK 8 12 12 0 9
10 Sarıyer 8 11 9 +2 14
11 Pendikspor 8 10 13 -3 10
12 Mardin BB 8 9 5 +4 12
13 Sivasspor 8 9 11 -2 8
14 Muğlaspor 8 8 7 +1 11
15 Van BB 8 8 17 -9 4
16 BB Bodrumspor 8 7 6 +1 8
17 İstanbulspor 8 7 19 -12 5
18 Ümraniyespor 8 6 9 -3 6
19 Erokspor 8 4 10 -6 5
20 Boluspor 8 3 20 -17 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Sivasspor 8 2.2 0.6 +1.6 8
2 Bandırmaspor 8 1.8 0.2 +1.6 10
3 Sarıyer 8 2.0 1.2 +0.8 14
4 Keçiörengücü 8 1.2 1.1 +0.1 13
5 BB Bodrumspor 8 1.1 1.2 -0.1 8
6 Ümraniyespor 8 1.2 2.0 -0.8 6
7 Pendikspor 8 0.6 2.2 -1.6 10
8 Van BB 8 0.2 1.8 -1.6 4
9 Kayserispor 8 — — — 19
10 Bursaspor 8 — — — 19
11 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 — — — 16
12 Batman Petrolspor 8 — — — 16
13 Mardin BB 8 — — — 12
14 Antalyaspor 8 — — — 12
15 Fatih Karagümrük 8 — — — 12
16 Muğlaspor 8 — — — 11
17 Manisa BBSK 8 — — — 9
18 Erokspor 8 — — — 5
19 İstanbulspor 8 — — — 5
20 Boluspor 8 — — — 1