Statistics / Football / Turkey. 1. Lig / Bursaspor vs Mardin BB

Bursaspor vs Mardin BB Statistics & Analysis

Bursaspor Bursaspor
Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.15
2 1.18
xG Accuracy: 77%
Mardin BB Mardin BB
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bursaspor Mardin BB ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13229957

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Mardin BB win · Bursaspor 1–2 Mardin BB
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Lig
  • Fixture: Bursaspor vs Mardin BB
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.8% · Draw 30.9% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Bursaspor 1.15 — Mardin BB 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.33)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Lig 1. Lig — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 19
3 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 5 1 2 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 16
5 Sarıyer 8 4 2 2 14
6 Keçiörengücü 8 3 4 1 13
7 Mardin BB 8 3 3 2 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 12
9 Fatih Karagümrük 8 3 3 2 12
10 Muğlaspor 8 2 5 1 11
11 Bandırmaspor 8 2 4 2 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10
13 Manisa BBSK 8 2 3 3 9
14 BB Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 8
16 Ümraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 5
18 İstanbulspor 8 1 2 5 5
19 Van BB 8 1 3 4 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Keçiörengücü 8 17 10 +7 13
2 Bursaspor 8 16 7 +9 19
3 Kayserispor 8 15 3 +12 19
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 15 13 +2 16
5 Antalyaspor 8 14 13 +1 12
6 Bandırmaspor 8 12 5 +7 10
7 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 12 7 +5 16
8 Fatih Karagümrük 8 12 11 +1 12
9 Manisa BBSK 8 12 12 0 9
10 Sarıyer 8 11 9 +2 14
11 Pendikspor 8 10 13 -3 10
12 Mardin BB 8 9 5 +4 12
13 Sivasspor 8 9 11 -2 8
14 Muğlaspor 8 8 7 +1 11
15 Van BB 8 8 17 -9 4
16 BB Bodrumspor 8 7 6 +1 8
17 İstanbulspor 8 7 19 -12 5
18 Ümraniyespor 8 6 9 -3 6
19 Erokspor 8 4 10 -6 5
20 Boluspor 8 3 20 -17 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Bursaspor 8 2.2 0.4 +1.8 19
2 Sivasspor 8 2.2 0.6 +1.6 8
3 Bandırmaspor 8 1.8 0.2 +1.6 10
4 Muğlaspor 8 1.9 0.8 +1.1 11
5 Sarıyer 8 2.0 1.2 +0.8 14
6 Erokspor 8 1.1 0.6 +0.5 5
7 Antalyaspor 8 0.7 0.5 +0.2 12
8 Kayserispor 8 1.6 1.5 +0.1 19
9 Keçiörengücü 8 1.2 1.1 +0.1 13
10 76 Iğdır Belediyespor 8 0.8 0.7 +0.1 16
11 Manisa BBSK 8 1.5 1.6 -0.1 9
12 BB Bodrumspor 8 1.1 1.2 -0.1 8
13 Batman Petrolspor 8 0.7 0.8 -0.1 16
14 Boluspor 8 0.5 0.7 -0.2 1
15 İstanbulspor 8 0.6 1.1 -0.5 5
16 Ümraniyespor 8 1.2 2.0 -0.8 6
17 Fatih Karagümrük 8 0.8 1.9 -1.1 12
18 Pendikspor 8 0.6 2.2 -1.6 10
19 Van BB 8 0.2 1.8 -1.6 4
20 Mardin BB 8 0.4 2.2 -1.8 12
1. Lig Turkey. 1. Lig Predictions