Gateshead vs Worthing Statistics & Analysis

Gateshead

Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.26

2 1.34

xG Accuracy: 78%

Worthing

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Worthing Worthing ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11242496

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Worthing win · Gateshead 1–2 Worthing

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: National League
Fixture: Gateshead vs Worthing
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Gateshead 1.26 — Worthing 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Gateshead & Worthing!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

National League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Boreham Wood	12	10	2	0	32
2	Harrogate Town	12	8	1	3	25
3	Southend	12	7	3	2	24
4	Yeovil Town	12	6	4	2	22
5	Worthing	12	6	3	3	21
6	Altrincham	12	7	0	5	21
7	AFC Fylde	12	6	2	4	20
8	Kidderminster Harriers	12	5	4	3	19
9	Barrow	12	5	3	4	18
10	Aldershot Town	12	5	3	4	18
11	Sutton Utd	12	5	3	4	18
12	AFC Hornchurch	12	6	0	6	18
13	FC Halifax Town	12	5	2	5	17
14	Carlisle	12	4	4	4	16
15	Woking	12	4	3	5	15
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	15
17	Eastleigh	12	4	3	5	15
18	Tamworth	12	4	2	6	14
19	Wealdstone	12	3	3	6	12
20	Boston United	12	3	3	6	12
21	Scunthorpe	11	3	1	7	10
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	9
23	Solihull Moors	12	2	1	9	7
24	Gateshead	12	1	1	10	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Boreham Wood	12	32	13	+19	32
2	Southend	12	29	18	+11	24
3	Harrogate Town	12	28	17	+11	25
4	Yeovil Town	12	26	15	+11	22
5	Carlisle	12	23	20	+3	16
6	Worthing	12	22	18	+4	21
7	AFC Fylde	12	22	18	+4	20
8	Barrow	12	20	15	+5	18
9	Woking	12	20	19	+1	15
10	Tamworth	12	20	28	-8	14
11	FC Halifax Town	12	18	14	+4	17
12	Aldershot Town	12	17	13	+4	18
13	Altrincham	12	17	18	-1	21
14	Forest Green	11	17	18	-1	15
15	Wealdstone	12	17	18	-1	12
16	Kidderminster Harriers	12	15	12	+3	19
17	Scunthorpe	11	15	19	-4	10
18	Sutton Utd	12	14	16	-2	18
19	Eastleigh	12	14	18	-4	15
20	Boston United	12	14	21	-7	12
21	AFC Hornchurch	12	13	19	-6	18
22	Solihull Moors	12	13	30	-17	7
23	Hartlepool	12	8	17	-9	9
24	Gateshead	12	7	27	-20	4