Statistics / Football / France. Feminine Division 1 / Paris FC W vs Lens W

Paris FC W vs Lens W Statistics & Analysis

Paris FC W Paris FC W
Oct 03, 2026 - 19:00
4 1.01
1 0.74
xG Accuracy: 41%
Lens W Lens W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Paris FC W Paris FC W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11260896

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Paris FC W win · Paris FC W 4–1 Lens W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Feminine Division 1
  • Fixture: Paris FC W vs Lens W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.2% · Draw 36.4% · Away 24.4%
  • xG (showing): Paris FC W 1.01 — Lens W 0.74 (total xG ≈ 1.75)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 74.4% · Over 2.5 25.6%); BTTS No (Yes 34.9% · No 65.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 34.9% · No 65.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (17.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Feminine Division 1 Feminine Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lyon W 3 3 0 0 9
2 Paris Saint Germain W 3 3 0 0 9
3 Marseille W 3 2 1 0 7
4 Paris FC W 3 2 0 1 6
5 Montpellier W 3 1 1 1 4
6 FC Fleury 91 W 3 1 1 1 4
7 Strasbourg W 3 1 0 2 3
8 Le Havre W 3 1 0 2 3
9 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 3
10 Lens W 3 0 1 2 1
11 Toulouse W 3 0 1 2 1
12 Nantes W 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lyon W 3 22 3 +19 9
2 Paris Saint Germain W 3 5 0 +5 9
3 Montpellier W 3 5 2 +3 4
4 Paris FC W 3 5 7 -2 6
5 FC Fleury 91 W 3 4 8 -4 4
6 Toulouse W 3 4 9 -5 1
7 Marseille W 3 3 1 +2 7
8 Saint-Malo W 3 3 5 -2 3
9 Strasbourg W 3 3 6 -3 3
10 Lens W 3 3 6 -3 1
11 Le Havre W 3 3 10 -7 3
12 Nantes W 3 1 4 -3 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Lyon W 3 1.4 0.3 +1.1 9
2 FC Fleury 91 W 3 0.3 1.4 -1.1 4
3 Paris Saint Germain W 3 — — — 9
4 Marseille W 3 — — — 7
5 Paris FC W 3 — — — 6
6 Montpellier W 3 — — — 4
7 Strasbourg W 3 — — — 3
8 Le Havre W 3 — — — 3
9 Saint-Malo W 3 — — — 3
10 Lens W 3 — — — 1
11 Toulouse W 3 — — — 1
12 Nantes W 3 — — — 1