Statistics / Football / Brazil. Brasiliense U20 / Canaã U20 vs Paranoa U20

Canaã U20 vs Paranoa U20 Statistics & Analysis

Canaã U20 Canaã U20
Jul 11, 2026 - 18:30
7 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 16%
Paranoa U20 Paranoa U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Canaã U20 Canaã U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 7-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 07, 2026 · 17:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3196757

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Canaã U20 win · Canaã U20 7–0 Paranoa U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Brasiliense U20
  • Fixture: Canaã U20 vs Paranoa U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Canaã U20 1.42 — Paranoa U20 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasiliense U20 Brasiliense U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Brasiliense U20 3 3 0 0 9
2 Legiao U20 3 3 0 0 9
3 Sobradinho U20 2 2 0 0 6
4 Taguatinga U20 3 2 0 1 6
5 Capital TO U20 2 1 1 0 4
6 Samambaia U20 3 1 1 1 4
7 Gama U20 4 1 0 3 3
8 Brazlândia FC SAF U20 3 1 0 2 3
9 CFZ Brasilia U20 3 1 0 2 3
10 ARUC U20 3 0 0 3 0
11 Planaltina U20 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Brasiliense U20 3 21 0 +21 9
2 Sobradinho U20 2 12 1 +11 6
3 Taguatinga U20 3 9 4 +5 6
4 Gama U20 4 9 9 0 3
5 Capital TO U20 2 6 2 +4 4
6 Legiao U20 3 5 2 +3 9
7 Brazlândia FC SAF U20 3 4 5 -1 3
8 Samambaia U20 3 3 4 -1 4
9 CFZ Brasilia U20 3 3 10 -7 3
10 ARUC U20 3 1 15 -14 0
11 Planaltina U20 3 0 21 -21 0