Statistics / Football / Brazil. Brasiliense U20 / Capital TO U20 vs Brazlândia FC SAF U20

Capital TO U20 vs Brazlândia FC SAF U20 Statistics & Analysis

Capital TO U20 Capital TO U20
Jul 11, 2026 - 18:30
8 1.55
2 1.05
xG Accuracy: 13%
⚽
Brazlândia FC SAF U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (10 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Capital TO U20 Capital TO U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 8-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 10, 2026 · 17:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3560110

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Capital TO U20 win · Capital TO U20 8–2 Brazlândia FC SAF U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Brasiliense U20
  • Fixture: Capital TO U20 vs Brazlândia FC SAF U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.3% · Draw 28.5% · Away 24.1%
  • xG (showing): Capital TO U20 1.55 — Brazlândia FC SAF U20 1.05 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasiliense U20 Brasiliense U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Brasiliense U20 3 3 0 0 9
2 Legiao U20 3 3 0 0 9
3 Sobradinho U20 2 2 0 0 6
4 Taguatinga U20 3 2 0 1 6
5 Capital TO U20 2 1 1 0 4
6 Samambaia U20 3 1 1 1 4
7 Gama U20 4 1 0 3 3
8 Brazlândia FC SAF U20 3 1 0 2 3
9 CFZ Brasilia U20 3 1 0 2 3
10 ARUC U20 3 0 0 3 0
11 Planaltina U20 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Brasiliense U20 3 21 0 +21 9
2 Sobradinho U20 2 12 1 +11 6
3 Taguatinga U20 3 9 4 +5 6
4 Gama U20 4 9 9 0 3
5 Capital TO U20 2 6 2 +4 4
6 Legiao U20 3 5 2 +3 9
7 Brazlândia FC SAF U20 3 4 5 -1 3
8 Samambaia U20 3 3 4 -1 4
9 CFZ Brasilia U20 3 3 10 -7 3
10 ARUC U20 3 1 15 -14 0
11 Planaltina U20 3 0 21 -21 0