Union Namur vs Jette Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 64%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Jette Jette ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13248795

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Jette win · Union Namur 0–1 Jette
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Second Amateur Division - ACFF
  • Fixture: Union Namur vs Jette
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Union Namur 1.25 — Jette 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Second Amateur Division - ACFF Second Amateur Division - ACFF — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Crossing Schaerbeek 7 5 1 1 16
2 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 8 5 1 2 16
3 Jette 7 4 3 0 15
4 Braine 8 4 2 2 14
5 Ganshoren 7 4 1 2 13
6 AS Eupen II 8 3 3 2 12
7 RUS Binche 8 3 3 2 12
8 Stade Verviers 8 3 2 3 11
9 Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 11
10 Richelle United 8 3 2 3 11
11 Huy 8 3 2 3 11
12 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 10
13 Ostiches 8 2 4 2 10
14 Stockay-Warfusée 7 2 2 3 8
15 Acren-Lessines 7 2 1 4 7
16 Union Namur 7 1 1 5 4
17 Entité Manageoise 7 0 2 5 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Crossing Schaerbeek 7 20 12 +8 16
2 Ganshoren 7 20 12 +8 13
3 Stade Verviers 8 18 14 +4 11
4 Stade Mouscronnois 7 17 14 +3 11
5 AS Eupen II 8 17 16 +1 12
6 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 8 15 11 +4 16
7 RUS Binche 8 15 17 -2 12
8 Jette 7 14 6 +8 15
9 Richelle United 8 14 12 +2 11
10 Acren-Lessines 7 13 13 0 7
11 La Calamine 7 12 10 +2 10
12 Huy 8 11 14 -3 11
13 Ostiches 8 10 11 -1 10
14 Entité Manageoise 7 10 19 -9 2
15 Braine 8 9 5 +4 14
16 Stockay-Warfusée 7 6 9 -3 8
17 Union Namur 7 5 18 -13 4
18 Aywaille 7 3 16 -13 1