Statistics / Football / Belgium. Second Amateur Division - ACFF / RUS Binche vs Ganshoren

RUS Binche vs Ganshoren Statistics & Analysis

RUS Binche RUS Binche
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.12
1 1.48
xG Accuracy: 69%
Ganshoren Ganshoren
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ganshoren RUS Binche ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11667458

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result RUS Binche win · RUS Binche 2–1 Ganshoren
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Second Amateur Division - ACFF
  • Fixture: RUS Binche vs Ganshoren
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.1% · Draw 29.1% · Away 43.9%
  • xG (showing): RUS Binche 1.12 — Ganshoren 1.48 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 36.9% · Probability edge: +14.9 pts · Est. EV: +34.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Second Amateur Division - ACFF Second Amateur Division - ACFF — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Jette 6 4 2 0 14
2 Ganshoren 6 4 1 1 13
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 4 1 1 13
4 Braine 6 4 0 2 12
5 Stade Verviers 6 3 2 1 11
6 Stade Mouscronnois 7 3 2 2 11
7 AS Eupen II 6 3 2 1 11
8 La Calamine 7 3 1 3 10
9 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 3 1 2 10
10 Richelle United 6 3 0 3 9
11 Ostiches 7 2 3 2 9
12 Huy 6 2 2 2 8
13 RUS Binche 6 2 2 2 8
14 Stockay-Warfusée 7 2 2 3 8
15 Acren-Lessines 6 1 1 4 4
16 Union Namur 6 1 1 4 4
17 Entité Manageoise 7 0 2 5 2
18 Aywaille 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ganshoren 6 19 10 +9 13
2 Stade Mouscronnois 7 17 14 +3 11
3 Crossing Schaerbeek 6 16 9 +7 13
4 AS Eupen II 6 16 13 +3 11
5 Jette 6 14 6 +8 14
6 Stade Verviers 6 13 6 +7 11
7 Richelle United 6 13 11 +2 9
8 La Calamine 7 12 10 +2 10
9 RUS Binche 6 12 15 -3 8
10 Ostiches 7 10 11 -1 9
11 Entité Manageoise 7 10 19 -9 2
12 Braine 6 9 5 +4 12
13 Acren-Lessines 6 9 12 -3 4
14 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 6 7 8 -1 10
15 Huy 6 7 9 -2 8
16 Stockay-Warfusée 7 6 9 -3 8
17 Union Namur 6 4 14 -10 4
18 Aywaille 7 3 16 -13 1
Second Amateur Division - ACFF Belgium. Second Amateur Division - ACFF Predictions